Huawei will handily beat Apple to become world's second largest smartphone maker in 2019

Huawei will handily beat Apple to become world's second largest smartphone maker in 2019
Another day, another bleak report dealing with the short-term repercussions of the mobile industry’s lack of “breakthrough features or specs.” But while Credit Suisse analysts made downright apocalyptic predictions yesterday of a massive Q1 2019 decline in global smartphone production, TrendForce today tackles full-year numbers, which might not be quite so bad.

If the market research firm is correct, 1.41 billion smartphones will be produced in total around the world this year, down 3.3 percent from the estimated 2018 tally. In addition to a weak “overall demand outlook” caused by the industry’s inability to innovate in a meaningful and practical way, the US-China trade war is expected to play a key role in driving that figure up or down.

If tensions between the two nations continue to escalate, smartphone production could take a hit of up to 5 percent in 2019 compared to last year. Apple’s already dwindling numbers would be dramatically impacted by a heightened trade war, although even if a truce is called, there’s no stopping Huawei now from ranking as the world’s second-largest vendor.

Of course, the controversial company can’t defy market trends forever and keep up that impressive recent growth rate. Still, Huawei’s 205 million production total of 2018 is projected to grow by a healthy 8 percent to 225 million units this year, putting quite a distance between the market’s forecasted silver and bronze medalists of 2019.

Huawei will handily beat Apple to become world's second largest smartphone maker in 2019

Apple is merely expected to move 189 million iPhones this year, likely to represent a market share of 13 percent, down from a 15 percent slice of the 2018 pie. Huawei should be able to account for around 16 percent of the world’s overall 2019 smartphone production, even though it’s not entirely clear how the aforementioned trade war might impact its own numbers.

In first place, Samsung will probably just try to stop the recent bleeding, aiming to maintain a dominant market share of around 20 percent by adopting more “aggressive strategies this year in terms of specifications and pricing to compete with its Chinese rivals.”

Speaking of them, Xiaomi, Oppo, and Vivo should retain their fourth, fifth, and sixth place in global shipment rankings while also struggling to achieve growth. Like Huawei, Xiaomi is forecasted to marginally boost its yearly production, with Oppo and Vivo looking at flat and shrinking volume scores respectively.

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37 Comments

1. SIGPRO

Posts: 2810; Member since: Oct 03, 2012

Technically fruit company is nr 4! 1: Samsung 2: BBK 3: Huawei

2. seantn4

Posts: 33; Member since: Dec 11, 2018

Who is BBK?

4. joshuaswingle

Posts: 413; Member since: Apr 03, 2018

BBK is the company behind Oppo, OnePlus, Vivo, and Realme.

5. Atechguy0

Posts: 918; Member since: Aug 03, 2018

Also China and India combined have around 3 billion people. And Huawei has been growing in both those countries. Yet Apple has been shrinking in those countries.

12. seantn4

Posts: 33; Member since: Dec 11, 2018

Thank you

6. Chinda3

Posts: 31; Member since: Mar 14, 2014

BBK own Oppo, Vivo and OnePlus. So as the previous poster said BBK should be ahead of Huawei in 2019. A previous article for 2018 leading smartphone makers was also wrong as BBK with there combined Oppo, Vivo and OnePlus sales were ahead of Huawei

3. TheOracle1

Posts: 1913; Member since: May 04, 2015

Yep. That's the real ranking.

13. notfair

Posts: 687; Member since: Jan 30, 2017

they will but for how long, huawei has manged to jump in less then a year from 699$ phones to 999$ ... so they are also aiming high but their biggest sales are low and mid range phones, that's where they beat everyone.

14. cmdacos

Posts: 3818; Member since: Nov 01, 2016

Hauwei could potentially come out this year as number 1. All the power to them. They created a mandate and are executing very well with their only obstacle becoming public perception.

15. cmdacos

Posts: 3818; Member since: Nov 01, 2016

Are Honor branded phones included in Hauwei's stats?

16. joshuaswingle

Posts: 413; Member since: Apr 03, 2018

Yes they are

24. AmashAziz

Posts: 2873; Member since: Jun 30, 2014

How old r u?

34. joshuaswingle

Posts: 413; Member since: Apr 03, 2018

Weird question... I'm 20yrs old

18. Peaceboy

Posts: 640; Member since: Oct 11, 2018

Profit share: 1. Apple 75% 2. Android garbages 25%

19. Be_Mine

Posts: 198; Member since: Dec 29, 2013

Potato = 1$ Potato (With 1 Apple Sticker) = 7.99$ Potato (With 2 Apple Stickers) = 25$

25. Vancetastic

Posts: 746; Member since: May 17, 2017

How much do you get?

26. L0n3n1nja

Posts: 1511; Member since: Jul 12, 2016

I don't understand why you brag about paying more for your phone and accessories, it's made of the same components in a cheap Chinese factory just like the phones you bash. Kind of like how you bash Samsung left and right, refuse to own their products, yet LOVE to interact with your SAMSUNG screen.

28. ZerosAndOnes

Posts: 82; Member since: Oct 12, 2018

Just shows how much of a laughing stock apple users are in apple's eye when they sell them same hardware with twice the cost.

29. sissy246

Posts: 6959; Member since: Mar 04, 2015

And dont worry, apple is not going to give you any. That is all you think about is profit. That should tell you just how over priced the iPhone is. Apple has already lost its 2ed place standing to all android phones.

32. midan

Posts: 2557; Member since: Oct 09, 2017

High end products have biggest profits and Apple sells tens of millions more than anyone else, of course their profits are higher.

36. Vancetastic

Posts: 746; Member since: May 17, 2017

Did you get your cut yet?

22. meanestgenius

Posts: 21345; Member since: May 28, 2014

I have no doubt of this. Huawei has been putting out a compelling, competitive product for some time now.

27. Wazupmrg

Posts: 137; Member since: Apr 10, 2017

"short term". Lol. This has been a few years slide. Apple's lack of innovation will make it the next Blackberry in a few years. Not that they can't create new technology, but they arrogantly refuse to do it, except very fringe features that are not used by the majority of the people in the world

33. midan

Posts: 2557; Member since: Oct 09, 2017

This one has lost the reality, Apple isn't going anywhere. They have over billion users and their userbase keeps growing all the time

35. Vancetastic

Posts: 746; Member since: May 17, 2017

Apple might just have a BIT more money in the bank than BlackBerry did....and they still made a pretty healthy profit last quarter. It’ll take more than a few years.

37. BullDozer

Posts: 149; Member since: Dec 18, 2015

Few panic deals and that money is gone...

38. midan

Posts: 2557; Member since: Oct 09, 2017

Was that a joke? If not, you clearly have no idea how much money Apple has and how much more they make every q. They have around 250 billion in cash

42. BullDozer

Posts: 149; Member since: Dec 18, 2015

Lately there has been speculations about Apple acquiring media companies like Disney, Sony Pictures or even Netflix. These companies are worth of tens or even hundreds of billions. Consider also fact that typically 50-80% of mergers fail.

43. midan

Posts: 2557; Member since: Oct 09, 2017

All the time there's all kind of speculation about Apple buying this and this :) Just yesterday there was rumour that Apple is going to buy nintendo. It's all just speculation before something happens. https://nintendosoup.com/nintendo-shares-rise-by-5-after-analyst-suggests-apple-to-buy-nintendo/ "NINTENDO SHARES RISE BY 5% AFTER ANALYST SUGGESTS APPLE TO BUY NINTENDO" And you seriously think company that big do such a panic deals? so far biggest what they have bought is beats and it cost 3 billion. If they want to buy netflix etc they really would have to think every scenario what it does for the company, very unlikely they are interested to buying netlix.

44. BullDozer

Posts: 149; Member since: Dec 18, 2015

No smoke without fire.... You just told how markets are seriously thinking these scenarios. So, why not. Only iFools may think that Apple is somehow different.

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