Android handsets expected to have 81.2% of the global market by year's end


The other day, we told you that researcher IDC estimates that global smartphone growth will slow to 9.8% this year, with 1.43 billion units shipped in 2016. When we passed this information to you, we discussed how certain countries like China are seeing a slowdown in first time smartphone purchases thanks to saturation of the product in the country.

Today, we have some further forecasts from IDC, which includes estimates of how the major operating systems will do this year. The guys at IDC whipped out their trusty abacuses and figured out that when the final seconds of 2015 are over, there will have been 1.16 billion Android handsets shipped over the year for a 9.5% increase from 2014's figure. That will give Google's open source OS a whopping 81.2% of the global smartphone market.

Apple will ship 226 million iPhones this year, according to iOS. That gives the company a 15.8% slice of the smartphone pie. More importantly, it represents growth of 17.3% over last year. The big question is whether Apple can keep up this momentum with a newly designed Apple iPhone 7.

IDC estimates that 31.3 million Windows Phone units will be delivered in 2015. That will give Microsoft's mobile OS a 2.2% global market share. On a year-over-year basis, the number of shipped Windows Phone handsets will decline 10.2%.

The research firm also decided to look ahead to 2019, and estimates that in four years, 1.54 billion Android phones will be delivered. That will account for 82.6% of the global smartphone market. Year-over-year growth will drop in half from this year's figure, to 4.8%. Android will enjoy a compounded annual growth rate of 7.7% from 2015 to 2019.

IDC expects Apple's compounded annual growth rate to be 6.5% over the same time period. That will result in 263.4 million iPhones shipped in 2019, good enough for a 14.1% market share. That will give Apple a 3.1% year-over-year growth rate in 2019.

With 43.6 million units expected to be shipped in 2019, Windows Phone will have 2.3% of the market in 2019, estimates IDC. But there is still hope for fans of Microsoft's mobile OS. While the platform's five-year compounded growth rate will be 4.5%, Windows Phone will have a higher year-over-year growth rate in 2019 than iOS or Android, at 11.4%.

For 2019, IDC predicts that 1.86 billion smartphones will be shipped. Smartphone deliveries will grow at a compounded annual rate of 7.4% from 2015-2019. Keep in mind that anything can happen between now and 2019 that can throw off these estimates. A stunning new feature, or even a brand new operating system could make these numbers look ridiculous in four years.

source: IDC via MobileSyrup

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39 Comments

1. sgodsell

Posts: 7368; Member since: Mar 16, 2013

Almost 1.2 billion smartphones sold in 2015 alone for Android, way to go little green bot.

9. SamsungPhanboy

Posts: 765; Member since: Mar 31, 2015

1.2 billion? Holy s**t. That's awesome

2. darkkjedii

Posts: 31045; Member since: Feb 05, 2011

I plan to help both boost market share,

3. Martineverest

Posts: 521; Member since: Oct 27, 2015

Tablets and smartphones who be short-lived.Ar and VR are the future

4. XperiaFanZone

Posts: 2277; Member since: Sep 21, 2012

I really hope WP will never "die". That's the only mobile OS which can influence Android and give them competition..but it will only work if they gain marketshare

6. Martineverest

Posts: 521; Member since: Oct 27, 2015

Yeah.i hope hololens, surfaces And islandswood will help bring apps to the platform

22. Spedez

Posts: 542; Member since: Aug 29, 2014

I hope WP dies for what they (Elop & Ballmer) did to Nokia.

27. elitewolverine

Posts: 5192; Member since: Oct 28, 2013

What Nokia did to themselves. Before Elop even stepped foot, Nokia was looking for a CEO to dig them out of a hole they would not be able to climb out of. When Elop got together a team from within Nokia to look at their Symbian/MeeGo efforts, not a single phone was able to be shown to compete and LTE would have been a few years off. With WP, they got to save cash, because despite android being free, at the time it still needed coding input. So they would have had to spent a lot to adopt either platform, they didn't have the cash to compete against Samsung, and even now other Android OEMs struggle to turn profits. So you can blame WP, but in reality, you are blaming the wrong person, you want a scape goat, not reality.

23. Guaire

Posts: 886; Member since: Oct 15, 2014

Tizen's market share surpassed BBOS. If Samsung can be able to maintain that growth rate they can cath up Windows in a few years.

34. PHYCLOPSH

Posts: 652; Member since: Jun 28, 2014

WP is definately dead.

39. jroc74

Posts: 6023; Member since: Dec 30, 2010

I am a big Android fan...but if you think the iPhone didnt influence and isnt competition to Android...I dont know what to say....

5. Martineverest

Posts: 521; Member since: Oct 27, 2015

Surface phone will boost windows share. Iphones and surface phones will fight for high end market share while Android will be relegated to low and middle end place. Similar to what is happening to tablet sector

7. Diezparda

Posts: 941; Member since: Oct 23, 2013

Bobbybuster to the rescue!!

8. darkkjedii

Posts: 31045; Member since: Feb 05, 2011

He got banned again, maybe he'll be back as retsubybbob

11. Diezparda

Posts: 941; Member since: Oct 23, 2013

Same core in the inside, he won't learn anything. That man surely had so much time to waste.

12. tedkord

Posts: 17357; Member since: Jun 17, 2009

Nobby is a troll, but seriously, how does he get banned while people making racist remarks (so racist they had delete them) not get banned? I'd take 50 off him over one qwertyphone. Almost makes me think PA endorses his views.

13. shinywindow unregistered

1st ammendment doesnt exist here

15. tedkord

Posts: 17357; Member since: Jun 17, 2009

Of course it doesn't. It shouldn't.

33. strudelz100

Posts: 646; Member since: Aug 20, 2014

1st Amendment always exists you idiot. You always have a right to say anything. It's a human right that nobody can strip. Whether or not you "get banned" or any other minor repercussion that literally does not matter: the fact is that once its said or typed the message is out and nothing and nobody can un-see or un-hear. Hitler was big on censorship and gun control before WW2 started.

17. darkkjedii

Posts: 31045; Member since: Feb 05, 2011

Good post bro, I wonder the same thing. Qwertyphone is allowed to spew racism, while BB gets banned for harmless trolling. I can't grasp it. +1

19. NoToFanboys

Posts: 3231; Member since: Oct 03, 2015

How about we all unite and report that stupid racist?

20. darkkjedii

Posts: 31045; Member since: Feb 05, 2011

Count me in.

26. meanestgenius

Posts: 22049; Member since: May 28, 2014

Me too. Racist BS has no place here, or anywhere.

38. darkkjedii

Posts: 31045; Member since: Feb 05, 2011

True words bro.

30. Hexa-core

Posts: 2131; Member since: Aug 11, 2015

I troll hard, but get awsy with it. Aren't I a superstar?

31. Hexa-core

Posts: 2131; Member since: Aug 11, 2015

I troll hard, but get away with it. Aren't I a superstar?

35. javy108

Posts: 1004; Member since: Jul 27, 2014

I miss his senseless comments.

10. DeusExCellula

Posts: 1390; Member since: Oct 05, 2014

I Miss Little Gagakiller Or Whatever His Name Was.

14. tedkord

Posts: 17357; Member since: Jun 17, 2009

This is crazy. We really need a viable third and fourth choice.

16. TechieXP1969

Posts: 14967; Member since: Sep 25, 2013

Why? There are things that don't need more choices. If you already have options making them estate products, why you need more?

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