Two suppliers to the top three smartphone manufacturers in the world (Samsung, Huawei and Apple) say that heading into the important holiday shopping season, demand for smartphones is sluggish. Warren Chen, CEO of a company that provides chargers to the big three, Lite-On Technology, puts the blame on the U.S.-China trade war. The executive says, "The trade war waged by U.S. President Donald Trump is making a matured smartphone market even more conservative."
What kind of downward spiral should we expect to see during the fourth quarter? The CEO of lens maker Largan Precision, Adam Lin, says we should see October smartphone sales slightly weaker than September's sales. But that will be followed by what he calls "significantly weaker" November sales.
Several technology analysts concur with the executives. Nicole Tu, a tech analyst at Yuanta Securities Investment Consulting, points to the comment from Largan's Lin and says that this quarter will be a difficult one for the smartphone industry. The dire forecasts come less than a month after Apple released the iPhone XS and iPhone XS Max. Two weeks from today, the more affordable iPhone XR will be launched. Next Tuesday, Huawei will introduce two new top shelf models, the Mate 20 and Mate 20 Pro.
The hot tech item during last year's holiday shopping season was the smart speaker, with low-priced models like the Amazon Echo Dot and Google Home Mini accounting for most of the category's sales. We could see something similar this year; the latest survey from Nielsen finds that only 24% of U.S. households own one or more smart speakers.