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Brokerage house analyst sees continued dominance of the Apple iPad

Posted: , by Alan F.

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Brokerage house analyst sees continued dominance of the Apple iPad
Ask two different people the same question and sometimes you get two different answers. Take the Apple iPad and Android flavored tablets. According to Informa Telecoms & Media in a story we reported, the Android tablet population will catch up with the Apple iPad population by 2015 and overtake it the following year. On the other hand, Needham and Co. analyst Charlie Wolf has a much different view of the future. His crystal ball says that the Apple iPad will dominate the tablet market over the next decade and by 2020, Apple's tablet will represent 60% of all tablets shipped that year while the price of the Apple iPad will have dropped to an average selling price of $377 from this year's $599.

As far as 2015 is concerned, the year in which Informa Telecoms & Media expects the two tablets to have the same share of the market, Needham says that the Apple iPad will control a whopping 72.5% of the tablet industry with an average selling price of $487. For this year, Wolf sees Apple accounting for 85% of all tablets shipped, with an average selling price of $599. Check out the chart below to see Wolf's computations.

While we can't tell you which of the two different analytic views will be right, we can say with certainty that either Android tablets will catch up with and finally overtake the Apple iPad in the number of units being shipped per year, or else Apple's iconic tablet will remain the leading device in the industry. Either way, Apple is projected to score net profits as high as $7.5 billion from the iPad by 2020, from $2.6 billion this year.

source: BGR

Charlie Wolf's table shows continued dominance of the Apple iPad through the year 2020

Charlie Wolf's table shows continued dominance of the Apple iPad through the year 2020


13 Comments
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posted on 08 Aug 2011, 13:50 3

1. aztaxia12295 (Posts: 264; Member since: 22 Nov 2009)


i really hope android fans don't comment on this article...

posted on 08 Aug 2011, 14:19 4

5. PhoneArenaUser (Posts: 4599; Member since: 05 Aug 2011)


Everyone is free to express their opinion and doesn't matter what brand you prefer.

posted on 09 Aug 2011, 17:39

13. remixfa (Posts: 13902; Member since: 19 Dec 2008)


This is why projections mean nothing. One says 3 years, one says 10 years.. lol.
Of course, if previous information is correct, this article is already wrong, since Andriod tablets accounted for 30% of sales already this year, and they really just launched this year.

posted on 08 Aug 2011, 14:03 3

2. gallitoking (Posts: 4630; Member since: 17 May 2011)


I have the ipad 2 and towo members of my family al have the ipads... so yes ipad rules..

posted on 08 Aug 2011, 14:05 2

3. wassup (Posts: 565; Member since: 23 Jun 2011)


i think this guy is an iSheep :)

posted on 08 Aug 2011, 14:13 2

4. aztaxia12295 (Posts: 264; Member since: 22 Nov 2009)


omg quit it already jeez

posted on 08 Aug 2011, 14:21 1

7. gallitoking (Posts: 4630; Member since: 17 May 2011)


is imposible as i do own the almighty Droid X by Motorola... but the Ipad is currently the best tablet out there.. the Galaxy tab will be better on the second gen.. love the eepad transfomer... see i do know android tablets.. but the ipad2 is proven stable and reliable..... works for me... so wassup.. wassup.. take care man,,,

posted on 08 Aug 2011, 16:23 1

10. taco50 (banned) (Posts: 5506; Member since: 08 Oct 2009)


Of course he is. How could any reasonable adult think Apple is doing well and continue to do so when ALL of the evidence shows Apple is at the brink of bankruptcy.

posted on 08 Aug 2011, 14:19 4

6. Droid_X_Doug (Posts: 5279; Member since: 22 Dec 2010)


If HP continues to price their tablets at $700, and Moto prices the Xoom and its follow-ons at a similar insane level, and the rest of the non-iOS tablets continue to face production constraints, Apple will continue to dominate the tablet space.

posted on 08 Aug 2011, 15:55 1

8. irvinkeith (Posts: 54; Member since: 27 Jan 2010)


finally an intelligent comment

posted on 08 Aug 2011, 16:17

9. Pdubb (Posts: 236; Member since: 08 Aug 2011)


Can't trust Mr. Wolf though. This may be true but he has the stock going up o $540. It just shed 20 points today. So he gets the grain of salt award for this one.

posted on 08 Aug 2011, 16:43

11. Immolate (Posts: 245; Member since: 17 Jun 2011)


What's that fallacy where you assume the future looks like the present, only later? Yeah, that. One word to refute Needham and his heavy position in Apple stock: Amazon.

Out of curiosity, does anyone have Needham's predictions on iPhone market dominance from two years ago? That would be instructive, would it not?

posted on 09 Aug 2011, 03:56

12. Ailsa18 (unregistered)


Have to admit that the iPad really is innovativem, and deliver an experience that a mass market enjoys and appreciates.
Just like my iPad, watching movies,it's much portable! though lack flash support, but with some tools like ifunia can easily solve the problem; check emails, surfing, reading, playing games, and seems can developing my nephew's intelligence!
I totally believe it can be the winner for the next Decade!

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