A recent Canalys report announced the end of a long Symbian rule in the mobile OS world, but an analyst took a deeper look at the numbers and refuted the company's statistics. The problem with them? Android activations. Analyst Tomi Ahonen didn't question Nokia's figures despite some information over at the Finns that their converged device sales stood at 28.3 million, but rather puts Google's numbers under scrutiny.
Based on daily activation rates, diligently reported by Google folks, Ahonen claims that Canalys' estimate is far fetched. The reason for this lies in daily Android activations, which have reached 300,000 units a day in December according to Andy Rubin's tweet on December 9, 2010. To reach the 33.3 million sales figure that Canalys came up with, Android activations must have been at 600,000 a day, which is very unlikely.
Ahonen doesn't mention anything about the fact that Canalys included the OMS and Tapas platforms (Android-based platforms produced in China), as well as the fact that Google activations include not only smartphones but other devices like tablets. These facts cast some doubt over the estimates by Canalys, but it should be very soon when other companies like IDC come up with their statistics to prove which side is right.
source: Communities Dominate Brands blog