Why your next smartphone is about to get way more expensive (again)

More smartphone price hikes are expected in the next couple of years, as AI data centers buyout memory supply years ahead.

Memory chip
These little things are making smartphone more expensive. | Image by MakeUseOf
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Here we go again! We've been through all of this before, but here comes the bad news. Smartphones are most likely going to be even more expensive next year, as AI data centers buy out SanDisk's memory supply.

SanDisk's memory supply is locked in until 2028 



During its quarterly earnings call, SanDisk disclosed the depressing information that about two-thirds of its memory supply for 2028 is already locked into long-term deals with AI data centers. Another piece of bad news is that SanDisk expects the demand for memory chips to grow twice as fast as supply in 2027. 

What this means is more memory shortages in other market areas, such as smartphones, PCs, consoles, and every piece of consumer electronics that uses onboard memory. SanDisk posted $11.03 billion in revenue for the quarter in question, a whopping 378% increase from a year ago. 

Almost half of that came from data centers at $4.80 billion, up 61% in just three months. The picture is clear. 

Smartphone manufacturers struggle for scraps 


SanDisk sells most of its chips via long-term contracts called NBMs. These contracts run years in advance, and according to the company’s CFO Luis Visoso, "about 50% of SanDisk bits are under NBM for ’27 and about 2/3 for ’28." 

What this means is that smartphone manufacturers like Samsung and Apple will continue to struggle to secure enough memory chips for their upcoming models. SanDisk CEO David Goeckeler added that many customers (AI data center operating companies) have underestimated the memory needed for their infrastructures and are coming back for more. 

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Brace yourselves as more bad news is coming. 

No relief in the foreseeable future 




What's even more alarming is that Visoso thinks that these NBM contracts exceed SanDisk supply capabilities "throughout the end of the decade." 

So, the situation won't change significantly in the next couple of years, and most likely into the 2030s. If you thought flagship smartphones were expensive now, you might be unpleasantly surprised next year or the year after. 

Would you pay more for the next flagship phone or buy an older flagship at a discount?
1 Votes

Smartphone price hikes are already hitting the end customer 



We've already started seeing the initial impact of all this. Samsung's own memory foundries are struggling to supply chips for clients, let alone the company's own Galaxy phones, and the prices are skyrocketing. 

Other chip manufacturers such as SK Hynix and Micron are also struggling to meet the demand from AI data centers. And while this means massive revenue for these companies, the result for the end customer is rather depressing. 

Apple and Samsung have already hiked the prices of their current smartphone lineup, Apple also did it retroactively for the iPhone 17 series, and more price hikes are expected for the upcoming models. The Galaxy S27 Ultra, for example, could start as high as $1,500 and higher storage variants could pass the $2,000 threshold. 

Should you buy a new phone now or wait? 


Many people are getting frustrated and disappointed by the looming price hikes and are starting to explore other options. The question above is complex and multi-layered. If you want the best model out there, you should be prepared to pay extra, that's for sure. 

The alternative is to wait for the next wave of flagships to come, and buy the current generation at a discount. With the incremental upgrades most phone brands offer, coupled with the long software support, that might be the most sensible option. 

Would you pay more for the next flagship phone or buy an older flagship at a discount?

Read more news about memory shortages and price hikes here:

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