AT&T, T-Mobile, and Verizon's worst fear confirmed by SpaceX

SpaceX has officially announced that it's considering building a terrestrial network.

spacex starlink mobile network
Is SpaceX going to be the fourth carrier? | Image by PhoneArena
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Turns out, the rumors were true. Elon Musk's SpaceX Starlink had a concrete purpose behind its spectrum shopping spree. The company is officially eyeing the market dominated by AT&T, T-Mobile, and Verizon.

The fourth carrier everyone has been waiting for


SpaceX President and Chief Operating Officer Gwynne Shotwell confirmed during a recent IPO roadshow that the company is considering building its own land-based cellular network in the US, per Financial Times.

This would entail launching a consumer-facing Starlink wireless service and offering mobile contracts just like AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile.

It's a much loftier ambition than SpaceX's current approach of partnering with carriers such as T-Mobile to connect customers to its satellites in dead zones.

A massive expansion


A SpaceX-branded mobile network would be one of the company's most important expansions since launching Starlink, its most profitable unit. It would allow the company to reach far beyond the rural customer base typically suited for satellite internet alone.

Owning the network would also reduce SpaceX's dependence on carriers and avoid the kind of tussles it's reportedly having with T-Mobile over the revenue cut.

The ambition comes to light just days after SpaceX went public, with investors expecting it to sustain growth momentum and unlock new revenue streams.

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Which route should SpaceX choose?
Build its own network.
63.11%
Buy AT&T, T-Mobile, or Verizon.
11.26%
Stay out of the cellular industry.
17.53%
MVNO.
8.09%
5612 Votes

Easier said than done


Some analysts believe that the announcement may simply be a bluff to extract better terms from telecom companies. After all, the Big Three have all denied entering into a Mobile Virtual Network Operator (MVNO) deal with SpaceX, and they have already allied to keep the company's market ambitions in check.

SpaceX would have to incur billions of dollars in construction costs and spectrum purchases to create its own mobile network.

The company has a paltry 65MHz of spectrum, which it picked up from EchoStar, while the Big Three have a combined total of 1,020MHz.

Besides, as New Street Research's partner David Barden points out, deploying a wireless network in competitive markets is very hard. However, a threat to do so might be enough to secure favorable partnership terms with carriers.

Exciting times

In the last two weeks, SpaceX has been recommended twice to buy T-Mobile. Apparently, a possible takeover bid from SpaceX is why Deutsche Telekom has decided to assert full control over its US subsidiary.

SpaceX may have scooped up more spectrum at the AWS-3 auction and could buy even more at next year's Upper C-Band auction.

With satellite capability limited by the laws of physics, a full-scale terrestrial network is what SpaceX needs to reach more customers.
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