AT&T and T-Mobile reportedly ready to show SpaceX what happens when you mess around

While SpaceX hunts for ways to access AT&T and T-Mobile's network, the two carriers have readied a game plan.

at&T T-Mobile spacex boost mobile
But SpaceX won't stop trying. | Image by PhoneArena
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This was only ever going to shake out one way. From the moment rumors surfaced that SpaceX wanted to purchase Boost Mobile, analysts pointed out that AT&T and T-Mobile would never let it happen. Boost leases capacity from both carriers, and its change-of-control provision requires SpaceX to get their consent first.

If anyone had doubts, AT&T and T-Mobile already have a strategy ready for when SpaceX tries to pull off this move.

Blocking off access



Semafor's Rohan Goswami reports that AT&T and T-Mobile execs have separately discussed cutting Boost Mobile off from their networks if SpaceX buys it.

While SpaceX's recent announcement that it will use Qualcomm technology for its base station architecture signals it intends to go it alone, building a network from scratch could take years and billions in investment. Buying Boost, on the other hand, gives SpaceX an instant customer base of 7.38 million along with an established distribution network.

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What does Elon Musk know that we don't?


SpaceX CEO Elon Musk isn't naive enough to think he can easily bypass AT&T and T-Mobile. However, he and EchoStar's Charlie Ergen are reportedly exploring a workaround.

Boost's MVNO agreement with T-Mobile expires on July 1, 2027, making this effectively a play for AT&T's network. But AT&T's agreement with EchoStar states that EchoStar can't freely resell access to other companies, with SpaceX possibly falling under the "restricted party" clause.

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If SpaceX makes a move, AT&T would be well within its rights to terminate the deal, though it would still have to honor a two-year transition period.

According to Light Reading, even if SpaceX manages to skirt the change-of-control clause, it could lose the favorable rate pricing EchoStar enjoys.

Another theory that has been suggested is that SpaceX could take a non-controlling stake in Boost to test whether it triggers the change-of-control restriction. If it does, the move could draw scrutiny from regulatory authorities for suppressing competition.

MoffettNathanson analyst Craig Moffett has questioned whether Musk and Ergen are trying to find a legal loophole to secure a deal.

Other possibilities


X user FREESPEECH101 presented another possibility. SpaceX could take a 49% stake in Boost and rebrand it as Starlink Mobile. AT&T might challenge the transaction, but it would have to give EchoStar a cure period. EchoStar could then file for bankruptcy before that period ends, allowing Starlink Mobile to keep operating. While it sounds like a long shot, Ergen has also used bankruptcy to restructure his business before.

Does this mean SpaceX won't build its own network? It's complicated. While the Qualcomm partnership signals intent, reports about SpaceX seeking access to 80,000 towers were disputed.

Either SpaceX is deliberately keeping everyone guessing, or it's just casting a wide net. 

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