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Analysts expect the Apple Watch to capture about 50% of the global smartwatch market in 2016

Analysts expect the Apple Watch to capture about 50% of the global smartwatch market in 2016
According to a new report from research firm the International Data Corporation (IDC), Apple's reign over the smartwatch market will continue throughout 2016, although Android Wear is expected to catch up by 2020.

Apple is expected to sell 14 million smartwatches in 2016 for a 49.4% slice of the global smartwatch market, which is estimated to grow 32.8% year-over-year to 28.3 million units.

Apple does not disclose Watch sales, but analysts believe that the Cupertino company was able to sell 11.5 million units in just 8 months of commercial availability in 2015, good for an impressive 63% slice of the global smartwatch market.

The IDC says that demand for the original Apple Watch might tone down in the early part of the year as customers start anticipating the next model, but that the second-generation Watch will turn the scales back in Apple's favor. However, the IDC also predicts that Apple will continue to lose market share as competitor offerings penetrate the market.

Android Wear expected to pick up steam by 2020

According to this new report, Google's Android Wear will account for 21.4 percent of the smartwatch market in 2016. Samsung's Tizen is also expected to make some progress this year as well. The FCC says that Samsung's wearable OS might ship on as many as 3.2 million smartwatches this year, a 11.3% slice of the market. 

By 2020, the report claims that Apple and Google will share the lion's part of the smartwatch market. Five years into the future, Apple's watchOS is forecasted to account for 37.6% global smartwatch shipments, followed by Android Wear with 35%. 

Although Samsung is expected to have moderate success with Tizen smartwatches, the report notes that proprietary operating systems will become the third-largest slice of the market by 2020, with 10 percentage points.

The open-source version of Android, which is what Chinese smartwatch makers can use to bypass Google's restrictions on the UI, is estimated to account for just 1% of the market in 2016. Looking into the future, the IDC estimates that more and more smartwatch manufacturers will turn to open source Android in an attempt to differentiate their products.

Analysts expect the Apple Watch to capture about 50  of the global smartwatch market in 2016

source: IDC

38 Comments
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posted on 17 Mar 2016, 16:32 10

1. wando77 (Posts: 796; Member since: 23 Aug 2012)


Sad news indeed when the inferior apple watch is performing the same brainwash act as the inferior iphone.
A lot of strange people out there that want to pay a premium for a fruit logo

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 17:02 2

5. darkkjedii (Posts: 19472; Member since: 05 Feb 2011)


Blah blah blah.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 21:01 1

17. S-R-K (banned) (Posts: 304; Member since: 15 Mar 2016)


Truth truth truth.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 23:31

23. sgodsell (Posts: 3077; Member since: 16 Mar 2013)


The Apple watch cannot communicate with any Bluetooth or WiFi device directly. Developers have to write a watch app that communicates with devices for the iPhone. Whereas any Android Wear device can communicate directly to other devices without the need to write an app on the phone to do the communication. Also Android Wear devices can work with iPhones, iPads, Android phones, tablets. The Apple watch can only talk to iPhones. Also there is better price ranges and a lot more styles for Android Wear devices compared to Apples 1 and only square style. Not to mention only Apple can make watch faces.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 17:03 2

6. Finalflash (Posts: 2726; Member since: 23 Jul 2013)


Eh, won't last that long probably. Another global slowdown is coming and that will probably kill Apple's market since that largely consists of poor people who think they look rich if they have an Apple phone. With subsidies already gone, any more pain in the market will mean sinking iPhone sales.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 20:58

16. S-R-K (banned) (Posts: 304; Member since: 15 Mar 2016)


Here's the deal these people are afraid of other technology sad but true..same people who cannot program a remote. Apple is simple at a cost of course lots of these people gladly upgrade every two years.

posted on 18 Mar 2016, 14:23

32. canner (Posts: 68; Member since: 29 Feb 2016)


thats really harsh. i mean i hate apple product mostly because of its consumers but thats still harsh

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 17:16 2

7. Ahovking (Posts: 628; Member since: 03 Feb 2015)


Brainwash? Most new adopters of the new iPhone 6 Plus and iPhone 6S Plus and android users.

iPhone perform so well they often come in to either second or first place in speed tests and benchmarks, they have low specs tricking simple minded poeple like yourself.. but they keep up with any android flagship easily.

The Apple Watch as useful as any other smartwatch.. (their pretty much useless unless you fancy walking around talking to your watch and putting your ear up to your watch to hear them talk in a crowded area).

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 20:04

14. NoToFanboys (Posts: 1030; Member since: 03 Oct 2015)


And this, my friends, is an example on how the iFans themselves are saying that the iPhone has "low specs".
The usual bullcrap saying "oh the iPhone has much lower specs than an Android flagship but is faster blah blah blah" *facepalm*

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 21:36 2

20. Ahovking (Posts: 628; Member since: 03 Feb 2015)


And this, my friends, is an example of someone who has no idea what they are talking about.

Low specs doesn't mean better performance.. you can see this with the S7 and its 12MP camera out performing the S6 16MP.

An iPhone 6 with 1 gb of ram can be jailbroken and have true multitasking and multi-window functionality with on screen widgets with live background and still perform smoothy..proving that you don't need more than 1GB of ram to perform complex android tasks.

Watching Videos of the iPhone 6s vs S6, despite larger specs, the S6 is unable to hold as many apps and webpages as the iPhone 6s..and in speed test the iPhone often wins.

posted on 18 Mar 2016, 00:41

24. NoToFanboys (Posts: 1030; Member since: 03 Oct 2015)


LOL, you obviously don't understand my reply. Re-read, and re-analyze.

posted on 18 Mar 2016, 06:28 1

27. Ahovking (Posts: 628; Member since: 03 Feb 2015)


A very poor response, like i said the iPhone has low specs and yet can out perform heavyweights like the S6, now i've listed things like memory performance where the iPhone can out perform the S6 dispute the iPhones lower specs.. that's embarrassing.

posted on 18 Mar 2016, 08:22

30. NoToFanboys (Posts: 1030; Member since: 03 Oct 2015)


As I said, the only thing that is not high end in the iPhone is the screen and battery, it's SoC is a BEAST, saying the A9 is low end shows just how ignorant you are when it comes to chipsets.

posted on 20 Mar 2016, 02:24

35. ColinW (Posts: 112; Member since: 04 Jun 2014)


Your example of thr camera is meaningless, the pixel count went down but other specs changed.

Yes the iPhone can be jailbroken, but with the miserly 1gb ram means multitasking is limited. Jailbreaking brings lots of problems including instability, slowing down and its a real pain updating, not to mention invalidating the warranty. So it proves nothing.

The iPhone is only fast as it is undespeced. Give it the features and functions of leading Android phones and then and only then can you compare. In reality iPhone users struggle to get speed parity at the huge expense of having inferior hardware and yet still paying a high price for less.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 23:15 1

22. sgodsell (Posts: 3077; Member since: 16 Mar 2013)


Think about it for a moment. The iPhone 6s is the only flagship priced device with the lowest resolution display. Yet iPhone Zealot's like to brag how fast the iPhone is. When another device with a Quad HD display is pushing 4 times the number of pixels compared to the iPhone 6s. I guess you guys have to justify why you paid so much for your overpriced iPhones. We all know they are over priced especially with Apple making those record profits. Even the cameras on the latest iPhones have fallen so far behind.

posted on 18 Mar 2016, 00:50 1

25. NoToFanboys (Posts: 1030; Member since: 03 Oct 2015)


I'm not an iPhone owner, and I don't think I'll be buying one in the future, but the only thing that isn't high end about the iPhone is it's screen and battery, it's SoC is a beast in terms of raw performance, especially the GPU, check the off-screen GPU tests, there's no resolution gap there.

posted on 18 Mar 2016, 06:42

29. Ahovking (Posts: 628; Member since: 03 Feb 2015)


The iPhone 6s Plus battery lasts as long as the Note 5.. its battery is very much "high end"?

screen however isnt haha

posted on 18 Mar 2016, 06:40

28. Ahovking (Posts: 628; Member since: 03 Feb 2015)


1-2gb for HD... 3-4gb for 2k... the iPhone 6s and the S6 should be as fast as each other according to you then..yet their not.

With 1-2gb, you could remove Apples limitations and add all the android features you want and it will still run smoothly.. why can't the S6 have 2gb like the iPhone 6s can and run complex android features?

iPhone aren't number one phones and honestly some of the performance of the S6 and S7 is shockingly bad.. you pay so much for the iPhone for brand... for that unique experience you won't find anywhere else.

posted on 19 Mar 2016, 04:16

33. dovking (Posts: 16; Member since: 01 Mar 2015)


lol you crazy

posted on 20 Mar 2016, 02:28

36. ColinW (Posts: 112; Member since: 04 Jun 2014)


The only unique experience using an iPhone is enjoying paying more for inferior hardware and limited buggy software,.

posted on 20 Mar 2016, 02:53

37. Ahovking (Posts: 628; Member since: 03 Feb 2015)


Inferior hardware? did you even bother reading my previous posts where i outlined where the iPhone performs better than the S6/7?

posted on 20 Mar 2016, 00:14

34. MrElectrifyer (Posts: 1924; Member since: 21 Oct 2014)


"Most new adopters of the new iPhone 6 Plus and iPhone 6S Plus and android users."

Lol, you sure were brainwashed by the iMedia. Tim Cook said, and I quote:

“For customers who purchased an iPhone last quarter, and replaced a smartphone, that 30 percent of those switched from an Android device,”

http://www.phonearena.com/news/Apple-denies-that-an-iOS-to-Android-migration-app-is-in-the-works_id77351

Since the iMedia clearly brainwashed and mislead you, that means 30% of those who switched to the iPhone had an Android SmartPhone. That's NOT the same as 30% of iPhone buyers as you've been brainwashed into thinking! Android's market share barely shifting despite those headlines is an indication of them being BS.

Considering how tiny the market of all those other SmartPhones (3.3%) were to begin with compared to iOS (13.9% in 2015Q2) and Android (82.8% in 2015Q2), it just further shines light on the fact that there was only a small number of people that switched from Android...

Presuming ALL those 3.3% switched to iOS, which we know is only an iDream, that "30%" is more like "0.99%" of ALL Android devices. Given the fact that other platforms still hold market share, it's far less than that 0.99%. Again, that was all a brainwash marketing hype...

posted on 20 Mar 2016, 03:08

38. Ahovking (Posts: 628; Member since: 03 Feb 2015)


I honestly wrote that poorly, when i said Most new adopters i wasn't including Apple users upgrading, and where did i ever 30% of android users covered? i'm seriously laughing at you so hard xD.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 18:52 1

9. Unordinary (Posts: 1020; Member since: 04 Nov 2015)


Except Woz said himself the best on the market right now is the Apple Watch, and that the Gear was so bad it had to be returned by day 3 :(

"Inferior". Hah.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 19:57 1

12. NoToFanboys (Posts: 1030; Member since: 03 Oct 2015)


Woz is smart, doesn't make him always correct though.
Also, that's his opinion.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 21:45

21. dovking (Posts: 16; Member since: 01 Mar 2015)


You do know he was talking about the first generation Gear not the Gear S2.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 18:52 1

10. Junito (Posts: 17; Member since: 12 Feb 2012)


Cry us a river..........

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 21:13 1

19. AlikMalix (Posts: 4855; Member since: 16 Jul 2014)


So there you have it everyone: the story that wondo77 tells himself before he goes to sleep. There probably a tiny night time book outthere for the rest that up voted his comment.

Don't teach him anything about the iPhone - and don't post videos of it beating everything android, the kid needs his sleep.

It's ok, little guy, live in your little bubble. iPhones suck and they're overpriced. Shhhhh now.

posted on 18 Mar 2016, 08:25 1

31. NoToFanboys (Posts: 1030; Member since: 03 Oct 2015)


And iPhones have low specs according to your friend Ahovking up there.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 16:32 1

2. Danini1112 (Posts: 47; Member since: 22 Jun 2013)


Ha ha ha ha IDC, remember when they said Windows Phone will surpass iOS & Android in 2016. Guys, it still no official number from Apple, you can tell everything about it.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 16:35

3. nctx77 (Posts: 1648; Member since: 03 Sep 2013)


any prediction like this is crap. It ignores the fact that new innovations in the coming years could sway the bar in any direction.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 16:54

4. Tziggy14 (Posts: 437; Member since: 02 Sep 2014)


I wonder who's gonna dominate the Android Wear market since Samsung's more interested in using their own platform for smartwatches.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 17:25

8. cripton805 (Posts: 1416; Member since: 18 Mar 2012)


Im just waiting for the cost / benefit / features to catch up to something I can be attracted to. As of right now I can careless. I want a fitness tracker smartwatch hybrid that isnt a pos.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 19:07

11. Trakker (Posts: 283; Member since: 11 Feb 2016)


I can kind of understand the appeal of iPhone but its just so sad that so many would choose the Apple Watch when its been surpassed in almost every way by countless other smartwatches

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 21:04

18. S-R-K (banned) (Posts: 304; Member since: 15 Mar 2016)


Oh noes! This watch cannot keep up with my active yuppie loser lifestyle!

Only 240 songs! What the deuce!

Where will I put my thousands of selfies?

Only 2GB for all the same apps I have on my iPhone and Mac such as Facebook, Imgur, and the rest I used to manage my pathetic online social life I carefully craft to create the persona I want out of images and music online that I use to define my individuality regardless of the fact it runs afoul of the DMCA, MPAA, and RIAA!

My god, apple, has forsaken me! Saint Jobs mocks me from heaven! :(
1

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 19:58

13. jeroome86 (Posts: 801; Member since: 12 Apr 2012)


Maybe when the next gen Apple Watch is release I will consider one. Needs some water resistance though.

posted on 17 Mar 2016, 20:15

15. ibend (Posts: 3205; Member since: 30 Sep 2014)


IDC.. the one who say that on 2013, symbian will surpass android market share, and on 2015 windows phone will take over the lead..
sure we can believe what they said, lol

posted on 18 Mar 2016, 01:47

26. yoosufmuneer (Posts: 1471; Member since: 14 Feb 2015)


I bet that the Gear lineup with better software support + apps would perform better but it doesn't have that Fruit logo. So nope.

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