Sprint rushing to a T-Mobile merger may have to do with a Democratic White House 2020

A merger effort was once blocked by President Obama's White House on the premise of limiting competition, consumer choice, and the potential for raising prices, and if we get a Democratic President in two years, the result is likely to be the same. The current White House is much more likely to let a merger go through, provided that SoftBank's CEO, the owner of Sprint, isn't as adamant for control as during last year's talks.

SoftBank has 85% of Sprint, which in its turn has $32 billion in debt outstanding, and the announced doubling of capital expenditures during the race to build out a 5G network, won't be helping to reduce this burden any time soon. SoftBank, on the other hand, has $147 billion of debt, so it would really, really like to work on this pile, and already announced that it might float SoftBank shares and raise capital by making the Japanese carrier public. 

Merging Sprint with T-Mobile will untie SoftBank Group's CEO Masayoshi Son's hands financially, but he has only a short window to do it, before the next FCC spectrum auction hits in November, and all carriers are forbidden to talk deals and mergers before the results are disclosed. The whole process of approving an eventual merger announcement may take a year, at least, which would explain why Sprint is pushing for it to be done and dusted as soon as possible before the uncertainty of a potential deal-unfriendly administration looms on the horizon.