ABI: BlackBerry 10 to have installed base of 20 million in 2013 versus 45 million for Windows Phone
posted by Alan F. / Feb 01, 2013, 3:16 PM
According to ABI, the numbers are high enough for developers to remain interested enough in both platforms to continue writing apps for them. Both BlackBerry 10 and Windows Phone will battle it out for third place and both BlackBerry and Microsoft are concerned that developers will stop writing apps for their respective platforms if the number of users start to dwindle.
Both BlackBerry and Windows Phone trail the top two platforms, Android and iOS, by a large enough amount that the pair should be concentrating on third place for the time being. Once the Installed base of both BlackBerry and Windows Phone grows larger, then the battle can migrate to first and second place. ABI notes that the total installed base of smartphone users will rise 44% by the end of 2013 to 1.4 billion with 57% of them Android flavored and 21% them using iOS. At the end of the year, there will be 268 million tablets in use, a rise of 125% year-over-year, with 68% of them running iOS and 28% of them being Android flavored.
source: ABIResearch via BGR
Posts: 14; Member since: Nov 16, 2012
Interesting story, thanks. Also, thanks for the good grammar, as the majority of articles on here are also interesting, but with awful grammar.
posted on Feb 01, 2013, 3:18 PM 1
Posts: 167; Member since: Feb 03, 2012
I found one for you. ( than... then) Once the Installed base of both BlackBerry and Windows Phone grows larger, than the battle can migrate to first and second place. You happy now. PhoneArena you still the best no matter what. Can't remember the last time I visited yahoo after I found you, so keep up the good work.
posted on Feb 01, 2013, 5:19 PM 2
Posts: 2156; Member since: Oct 17, 2011
45 million ONLY? Whoa, WP fanboys will call me crazy but 45M is a ridiculously low number. At the same time iOS should reach 700 million, and Android well above one billion (roughly 1.2-1.4 billion users )
posted on Feb 01, 2013, 3:37 PM 3
Posts: 5993; Member since: Dec 22, 2010
45 million isn't even rounding error on 1 billion. MS needs to work a little harder.
posted on Feb 01, 2013, 4:02 PM 4
Posts: 6023; Member since: Dec 30, 2010
I still say give it at least 2 more years. By then we should know where they are going. Although WP did come out in Nov 2010....its going on 3 years on the market....Android came out in Sept 2008, the Droid 1 launched in Nov 2009. Android started its rise in 2010. The rest is history. And of course the iPhone came out the gate and ran past everyone at the time in about 2 years. I think Nokia has a chance to do what Motorola did for Android. The Droid 1 made ppl take notice of Android. The Lumia line....the 920 at least... might make ppl take notice of WP. But I agree...BB and WP almost have the same numbers... This might be how the market share will be.
posted on Feb 01, 2013, 8:44 PM 3
Posts: 902; Member since: Sep 29, 2011
I like this story as it paints a real picture. Although it is with estimates it tells the truth about how these respective platforms will battle to succeed. Neither one is in the realm of Android or iOS yet but they could increase the competition and make it better for consumers.
posted on Feb 01, 2013, 4:48 PM 4
Posts: 1256; Member since: Nov 12, 2012
again analysts don't know a thing!! they just keep on jumping to conclusions!! coz if windows phone is really gaining market share I think the 3 years is enough for it to have a decent market share or in double digits but they didn't!!
posted on Feb 01, 2013, 5:23 PM 1
Posts: 3617; Member since: Jan 19, 2011
I put very little stock in analysts who predict what is coming in two years, but I will give a nod to analysts who study what HAS happened and how it is affecting sales now. I see WP needing to hit close to 10% this calander year. I was hoping for last year, but WP 7 was not a good enough OS and WP 8 came late in 2012 instead of about Summer like was projected. If they hit 8%-10% worldwide, that is HUGE growth. BB10 just needs to hold serve. BlackBerry needs to keep their user base to stop the bleeding and then can rebuild momentum to increase sales. I am such in the minority. I think there is more then enough mobile users to keep all four OS's profitable. The smartphone growth continues to climb, and the adoption of mobile continues to grow.
posted on Feb 01, 2013, 6:05 PM 3
Posts: 6023; Member since: Dec 30, 2010
I also think it can be a 4 horse race. Android and Apple figting for 1-2, RIM and WP fighting for 3-4. That said....I cant wait to try out that uBuntu phone. I need an Android phone with an unlocked bootloader... If it turns out to be any good. I might start using Linux more on my desktop.
posted on Feb 01, 2013, 8:53 PM 0
I'm okay with where WP8 is.. With Nokia pushing their amazing devices and great support ( they just gave super monkey balls 2 and sonic cd for free), seriously to me they don't have to be first in sales to be the best phone maker.. I'll continue to support a company that seems to want to really support their customers with little perks and better built phones
posted on Feb 01, 2013, 6:40 PM 3
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