ABI: BlackBerry 10 to have installed base of 20 million in 2013 versus 45 million for Windows Phone

ABI: BlackBerry 10 to have installed base of 20 million in 2013 versus 45 million for Windows Phone
ABI Research has been using all of its fingers and toes to add up the data and the analytics firm now figures that by the end of the year, there will be an installed base of 20 million BlackBerry 10 users. At the same time, Microsoft's mobile OS, Windows Phone, will have an installed base of 45 million users with a Windows Phone handset. Another 5.5 million users will be totin' a Windows Phone tablet as the ball drops on 2013.

According to ABI, the numbers are high enough for developers to remain interested enough in both platforms to continue writing apps for them. Both BlackBerry 10 and Windows Phone will battle it out for third place and both BlackBerry and Microsoft are concerned that developers will stop writing apps for their respective platforms if the number of users start to dwindle.


Both BlackBerry and Windows Phone trail the top two platforms, Android and iOS, by a large enough amount that the pair should be concentrating on third place for the time being. Once the Installed base of both BlackBerry and Windows Phone grows larger, then the battle can migrate to first and second place. ABI notes that the total installed base of smartphone users will rise 44% by the end of 2013 to 1.4 billion with 57% of them Android flavored and 21% them using iOS. At the end of the year, there will be 268 million tablets in use, a rise of 125% year-over-year, with 68% of them running iOS and 28% of them being Android flavored.

source: ABIResearch via BGR

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20 Comments

1. dgreekstallion

Posts: 14; Member since: Nov 16, 2012

Interesting story, thanks. Also, thanks for the good grammar, as the majority of articles on here are also interesting, but with awful grammar.

9. joseph98

Posts: 167; Member since: Feb 03, 2012

I found one for you. ( than... then) Once the Installed base of both BlackBerry and Windows Phone grows larger, than the battle can migrate to first and second place. You happy now. PhoneArena you still the best no matter what. Can't remember the last time I visited yahoo after I found you, so keep up the good work.

3. Johnnokia

Posts: 1158; Member since: May 27, 2012

Sure... And Windows Phone will eat IOS soon Big thank to Nokia. You are raising WP to the sky.

5. darac

Posts: 2156; Member since: Oct 17, 2011

45 million ONLY? Whoa, WP fanboys will call me crazy but 45M is a ridiculously low number. At the same time iOS should reach 700 million, and Android well above one billion (roughly 1.2-1.4 billion users )

6. Droid_X_Doug

Posts: 5993; Member since: Dec 22, 2010

45 million isn't even rounding error on 1 billion. MS needs to work a little harder.

15. PhansMuneeb

Posts: 371; Member since: Jan 28, 2012

Give Microsoft time they are adding features very fast unlike iOs which just gives some bug fixes in new iteration...

16. jroc74

Posts: 6023; Member since: Dec 30, 2010

I still say give it at least 2 more years. By then we should know where they are going. Although WP did come out in Nov 2010....its going on 3 years on the market....Android came out in Sept 2008, the Droid 1 launched in Nov 2009. Android started its rise in 2010. The rest is history. And of course the iPhone came out the gate and ran past everyone at the time in about 2 years. I think Nokia has a chance to do what Motorola did for Android. The Droid 1 made ppl take notice of Android. The Lumia line....the 920 at least... might make ppl take notice of WP. But I agree...BB and WP almost have the same numbers... This might be how the market share will be.

24. papss unregistered

Couldn't agree more... I know there is a first time for everything :)

26. Rager722 unregistered

Actually I think the G1 for T-Mobile is what made people take notice on Android

7. speckledapple

Posts: 902; Member since: Sep 29, 2011

I like this story as it paints a real picture. Although it is with estimates it tells the truth about how these respective platforms will battle to succeed. Neither one is in the realm of Android or iOS yet but they could increase the competition and make it better for consumers.

8. XperiaFanZone

Posts: 2277; Member since: Sep 21, 2012

WP to be in the top two, with Android!

10. MC1123

Posts: 1256; Member since: Nov 12, 2012

again analysts don't know a thing!! they just keep on jumping to conclusions!! coz if windows phone is really gaining market share I think the 3 years is enough for it to have a decent market share or in double digits but they didn't!!

11. snowgator

Posts: 3617; Member since: Jan 19, 2011

Based on... what? Your opinion on where it should be? Your dislike of the devices?

12. snowgator

Posts: 3617; Member since: Jan 19, 2011

I put very little stock in analysts who predict what is coming in two years, but I will give a nod to analysts who study what HAS happened and how it is affecting sales now. I see WP needing to hit close to 10% this calander year. I was hoping for last year, but WP 7 was not a good enough OS and WP 8 came late in 2012 instead of about Summer like was projected. If they hit 8%-10% worldwide, that is HUGE growth. BB10 just needs to hold serve. BlackBerry needs to keep their user base to stop the bleeding and then can rebuild momentum to increase sales. I am such in the minority. I think there is more then enough mobile users to keep all four OS's profitable. The smartphone growth continues to climb, and the adoption of mobile continues to grow.

18. jroc74

Posts: 6023; Member since: Dec 30, 2010

I also think it can be a 4 horse race. Android and Apple figting for 1-2, RIM and WP fighting for 3-4. That said....I cant wait to try out that uBuntu phone. I need an Android phone with an unlocked bootloader... If it turns out to be any good. I might start using Linux more on my desktop.

22. christumaini

Posts: 27; Member since: Oct 25, 2012

Me too budy.. There are other two more coming ie mozilla os and the other one from Samsung

14. papss unregistered

I'm okay with where WP8 is.. With Nokia pushing their amazing devices and great support ( they just gave super monkey balls 2 and sonic cd for free), seriously to me they don't have to be first in sales to be the best phone maker.. I'll continue to support a company that seems to want to really support their customers with little perks and better built phones

17. 1ceTr0n

Posts: 549; Member since: May 20, 2012

Ho ho ho! Feeling a little cocky are we blackberry? YOu have a lot to prove before you get even close to that mark

19. haikallp

Posts: 319; Member since: Feb 10, 2012

I'm a big fan of windows phone and i like iOS too but i hope BlackBerry succeeds. I think BlackBerry10 is good enough to be a viable competitor. And competition is good for the consumers.

23. AfterShock

Posts: 4146; Member since: Nov 02, 2012

If my droid died or similar, I'd rock BB10 long before the lame WP8.

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