Moore's Law is coming to an end
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Moore's Law has been valid since it was first formulated in 1965
Problem with such hypothesis is that Moore’s Law is formulated not just for transistor size and efficiency - it’s also about component cost. Here is the exact definition of Moore’s Law, as proposed by Moore:
The complexity for minimum component costs has increased at a rate of roughly a factor of two per year. Certainly over the short term this rate can be expected to continue, if not to increase. Over the longer term, the rate of increase is a bit more uncertain, although there is no reason to believe it will not remain nearly constant for at least 10 years.
Hearing about the end of Moore's Law around the same time when Intel unveils 14nm Broadwell chips scheduled to come by the end of the year might be strange, but there are plentiful reasons to back up such statement. In order to understand the reasons, you just have to look at the chart below, shown by ST’s Joel Hartmann, showing how cost starts drifting off the vector at 20nm and lower.

Moreover, this is not an isolated finding: the same data is also backed by chip maker GlobalFoundries, and others. Basically, this second chart by GlobalFoundries shows how 28nm polySiON manufacturing is the most cost efficient architecture at the moment, and scaling down, or using other processes like HKMG and FinFET, comes at a much higher cost ratio.


Gordon Moore formulated the law in 1965
source: EETimes
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