Kuo: shipments of Apple iPad mini 2 with Retina display to grow 102% in Q4
So now that we've established Kuo's bonafides, we should take note of his forecast made Tuesday about the Apple iPad mini with Retina display. The tablet, which was launched today, will see a 102% increase in shipments for the first quarter of 2014 from the current three month period. That should mean that 4.2 million units of the slate should ship in the three months from January through March. The Apple iPad mini with Retina display features a 7.9 inch panel with resolution of 2048 x 1536 which works out to a pixel density of 324ppi. That compares with the original Apple iPad mini which features a 1024 x 768 resolution on the 7.9 inch glass. Overall, that works out to a pixel density of 162ppi.
With the boost to iPad mini with Retina display shipments, Kuo sees overall iPad shipments rising to 23.1 million units during the holiday quarter for a 64% sequential gain in shipments. But the analyst sees iPad shipments hitting the breaks in the opening three months of 2014 with shipments falling 42% quarter-to-quarter in the first quarter, bringing the total down to 13.3 million. The expected decline in Q1 will most likely come from a huge drop off in demand after the holiday season, and a drop off specifically in shipments of the Apple iPad Air to 6 million from 10.5 million during the prior quarter. Kuo says that the reduced shipments for the iPad Air in the first quarter will be due to cannibalization from the iPad mini with Retina display along with changes in the tablet sector.
Kuo sees the two non Retina display slates on Apple's roster, the Apple iPad mini and the Apple iPad 2, reporting month-over-month declines of 72% and 82% respectively in Q1 shipments to 2.4 million and .3 million unit respectively. As a result, the analyst expects that Apple will EOL the aging iPad 2 in the first quarter of 2014.