Research says Android and iOS will continue to dominate, but others will find their niches

Research says Android and iOS will continue to dominate, but others will find their niches
One of the most common questions that is asked any time someone hears the names Firefox OS, Sailfish, Ubuntu Touch, or Tizen, is whether or not these alternative platforms have much of a chance in a market that is dominated by Android (and to a lesser extent, iOS). But, a new report from Juniper Research says that emerging markets will give plenty of space for all comers.

According to Juniper, Android and iOS are expected to continue dominating the market. In fact, Juniper estimates that Samsung and Apple alone will ship more devices in 2018 than were shipped by all manufacturers in 2012. In 2012, all vendors combined shipped 677 million smartphones, but the estimate has Samsung and Apple combined shipping 800 million devices in 2018. 

But, Juniper also says that the market will continue to split, and by 2018 newcomers like Asha, Sailfish, Firefox, and Ubuntu will have taken over 13% of the market. Given that recently, all "others" beyond Android, iOS, and Windows Phone combined for only 3% of global shipments, that's a pretty big shift.

source: DigiTimes



1. wp8nokia

Posts: 16; Member since: Aug 05, 2013

That ios copy machine call android will end soon , ppl are tired of looking at their phone and say oh it looks like and iphone , once they touch a wp ohhh boy the see and feel whats original , what is hard work and dedication, what it to have a braind and no just copy , dont believe me ask google why they pay Microsoft 1 billion dollars a year lol.

2. cdgm2509

Posts: 30; Member since: Mar 29, 2013

JESUS CHRIST!!! Mention one single thing android copied from iOS... just one single thing.. BTW nice grammar and spelling

5. HansGoneInsane unregistered

They copied the idea of the OS (apps put on a desktop) and the way you use (multi touch --> slide to unlock, pinch to zoom etc.) the OS. Don't forget that Apple had to completely innovate all that stuff from the scratch. Android/Google just took that and then added features that iOS did not had but that is evolution and not revolution. That means that Android/Google only implemented incremental innovation while Apple did the radical innovation. Microsoft came up with a radical innovation in terms of user interface. So far, Android did not achieve one single radical innovation.

6. jdoee100

Posts: 334; Member since: Jun 04, 2013

It's the Apple that did not achieve one single radical innovation. Apple's so called "innovation" were taken(or stolen) from other people's ideas. Apple put together other people's innovations in one fantastic package, that is all.

8. HansGoneInsane unregistered

So, who used then an OS like iOS before (apps on multiple desktops)? Who used multi-touch before? Please name examples.

10. a_tumiwa

Posts: 393; Member since: Mar 16, 2012

nah, both OS copy from motorola for phone calling feature

11. hmmm...

Posts: 81; Member since: Jun 05, 2013

You should just use a search engine to look for the answers instead of asking people here. Slide to unlock first appeared in Neonode phones(no longer making phones but their sensing tech is used in Xperia Zu). Multi touch and pinch to zoom weren't even develop by Apple. Mitsubishi diamondtouch in 2001 was an early device with multi touch. LG made the first capacitive phone. Though I'll give credit to Apple for bringing everything into one device. You can find these with a search engine, it will blow your preception apart. Or do you refuse to face the truth? and just hide in your own reality where Apple invented everything? That's laughable.

13. HansGoneInsane unregistered

Concerning Neonode: I agree now that they did it first. But since no one knows them, I'd rather say Apple "invented" it separately from them. Neonode was not mentioned in the court rooms between Samsung/Google and Apple. If Apple did not know about this patent, their innovativeness isn't touched at all. Concerning multi-touch: You really want to compare a complete table device for multiple humans to phone device for multiple fingers of one person? And by the way: have you every heard about architectural innovation? Furthermore: I didn't say Apple invented everything, my statement was rather: Apple invented more than Android's originators.

15. hmmm...

Posts: 81; Member since: Jun 05, 2013

That is why i said i had to give Apple credit for bringing many functions into one device. IF they didn't know about Neonode, then yes, they "invented" it separately. (Big IF) Neonode is mentioned in court, when Apple went after HTC and then Samsung, but I'm not able post links here.

30. Googler

Posts: 813; Member since: Jun 10, 2013

And you still haven't mentioned anything Apple invented in regards to their phones, but say they've invented more than Android's creators. Apple tied a lot of other people's ideas together into one clean, polished package, but didn't invent any of it. They raised the bar in many ways by doing so, but don't deserve the credit for inventing any of it.

32. HansGoneInsane unregistered

Do you think the inventor of the car did invent the wheel? Many inventions are based on what already exists but which is put together in a very new way. Apple invented the modern smartphone or did you see any smartphones like the iphones before iPhone 1?

34. Googler

Posts: 813; Member since: Jun 10, 2013

Koolaid must taste good if you think Apple invented the modern smartphone. Not sure if people are just too lazy to investigate the truth or just too blind to admit it when they see it.

21. deewinc

Posts: 455; Member since: Feb 21, 2013

Don't forget rectangular design with rounded corners came from the Motorola A100s touchscreens back in the days.

17. -box-

Posts: 3991; Member since: Jan 04, 2012

I agree about WP being great, but apple and ios are copycat trash. They took others' ideas, standing on the shoulders of giants, and put them in one device (which wasn't unprecedented), and advertised the heck out of it until uninformed persons bought their fictions. IDevices are made in china not only to exploit the workforce, but also because copycat laws are much looser, allowing Chinese companies to copy whatever they want with little to no penalty.

31. good2great

Posts: 1042; Member since: Feb 22, 2012 android isn't copycat trash? come on you can't bash one company for copying and leave the other out of it.

18. kanagadeepan

Posts: 1264; Member since: Jan 24, 2012

Yes... The Notification Android copied from iOS, NO NO NO WAIT WAIT....

20. lalalaman

Posts: 638; Member since: Aug 19, 2013

be practical man, be practical....i love all of them..there are abilities and disabilities in all OSes...copying is innovation....remember what Steve Jobs said about copying???Android was doing the ios is doing that...once other feature are on WP...ppl will say the same...COPYING

3. Nathan_ingx

Posts: 4769; Member since: Mar 07, 2012

Android...definitely! Apple? Skeptical...unless they bring a new practical thing to the market.

4. veer.d

Posts: 89; Member since: Jul 12, 2013

any analyst cannot estimates about five years in technology field. u must remember that IDC estimate that android will become second platform after symbian in 2013.....

7. LetsBeHonest

Posts: 1548; Member since: Jun 04, 2013

A 5 year estimation??? Technology improving in a high rate so its pretty hard to estimate for 5 years unless they have six sense or besides its their job.

9. xperiaDROID

Posts: 5629; Member since: Mar 08, 2013

Since Tim Cook joined Apple as the CEO, Apple is falling down like a roller coaster. Anyway, Android FTW!

12. GeekMovement unregistered

that's the tizen logo? .... ok.. well I'm really excited about jolla sailfish os i hope they become successful.

14. wicpromd

Posts: 266; Member since: Aug 20, 2013

what willl happen to nokia?

16. 1113douglas

Posts: 200; Member since: Jul 04, 2013

Ios sucks

19. Sondae

Posts: 291; Member since: Jan 02, 2013

I sure like to see different OS like Android, iOS, Windows Phone and etc on the phone giving a costumer to try different option for there taste. I cant imagine one day there will be one OS in a phone.

22. gazmatic

Posts: 812; Member since: Sep 06, 2012

never trust what these analyst estimate nobody can predict what technology will look like in 5 years... not even in two years being the most advanced and most powerful does not equal market success... let me do some forecasting of my own... android will continue to dominate and rise until the point of stagnation unless cheap and powerful devices hit the market ios will rise and fall based on its marketability and "this changes everything again features" they will have to innovate to recapture mind-share from android or risk a two pronged attack from google and ms wp will continue to rise but wont reach 10% anytime soon... they'll pass 7% as lumias become the new status symbols bb will continue to decline as wp keeps attacking them tizen will make an impact initially but wont siphon enough users from android to matter jolla wont make a splash(even though i want them to, being a meego fan) all other os will just be blips on the radar by 2020 it will look like this: android 75% ios 15% wp 7% bb 2% all others I am not an analyst but past predictions by analysts prove that my predictions are as credible as theirs


Posts: 2817; Member since: Oct 03, 2012

WP will grow, but i think Sailfish can be a big player!

26. WHoyton1

Posts: 1635; Member since: Feb 21, 2013

hmmm not many people have heard about it though and they dont have the might of samsung or intel behind them like tizen!


Posts: 2817; Member since: Oct 03, 2012

True but they have to start from the bottom, it has to grow! And i see other brands using Sailfish os also in the near future.

24. muser793

Posts: 60; Member since: Aug 15, 2013

am I the only 1 here knows that Android is not the first OS with notification center?! just go check windows mobile, u can see the damn notif center! windows mobile had both Widgets n Notification Center ! there's no innovation in IOS or Android, the only platform with new interface n something new is WP...

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