Mobile consultant looks back at 2013, offers predictions for next year

Mobile consultant looks back at 2013, offers predictions for next year
A new study, cited by the New York Times on Tuesday, shows that the average U.S. mobile device user consumed 1.2GB of mobile data a month this year. That is up sharply from the 690MB of data that was used in an average month last year. The data was compiled by Chetan Sharma, a consultant to the wireless industry. In a report looking back at 2013, and offering predictions for the new year, he shows a similar trend for world-wide consumption of data. The average mobile device user went through 240MB of data on average each month this year, up from the 140MB consumed monthly in 2012.

Sharma says that the increase in data use could have something to do with the global build out of 4G LTE technology. Another reason for the sharp increase in data use might be the larger screens now available on smartphones. As recently as 2009, the 4.3 inch screen on the HTC HD2 was considered to be unusually large. Now, the largest smartphone screen is the 6.4 inch panel on the Sony Xperia Z Ultra.

Sharma says that next year, we will finally cross the line and there will be more mobile accounts than humans populating the planet. And he expects carriers to change pricing and plans as the amount of data used continues to rise. In Sweeden, some subscribers are consuming an average of 7GB a month, while in the states there are Android models averaging 4GB of data use per month.

The study also discusses the domination of Apple and Samsung in the smartphone market. Sharma does point out that while the raw numbers favor Android, iOS wins out in consumer usage. He also notes the speed at which iOS users updated to iOS 7. On the other hand, he notes that "Android has changed the industry for the better". Speaking of Apple and Samsung, with 25% of the patents issued by the USPTO related to mobile, we could see more patent battles in the year ahead.

Sharma also hints that no one company should be complacent in the mobile industry. He points out that one time leaders like RIM, Motorola and Nokia are now having problems or have been swallowed up by a larger corporate parent. Reading between the lines, we're pretty sure that he considers this a warning to Apple.

Lastly, the consultant expects more blockbuster mergers in the year ahead. With talk that T-Mobile is on the shopping list of both Sprint and DISH Network, he just might be right.

source: ChetanSharma via NYTimes



11. alexvv

Posts: 165; Member since: Oct 16, 2013

you can see in charts that wp is not taking any customers from android. it has always been the battle closed versus open ecosystem.. android will only lose to a superior open source linux based ecosystem sometime... but not now. i think apple will continue to be strong... but sooner or later one of the three will go down. oems haven't shown any sign of "leaving" android just yet.

13. rodneyej1

Posts: 3576; Member since: Jul 06, 2013

Ok..... Relevant to my comment❓

14. rodneyej1

Posts: 3576; Member since: Jul 06, 2013

Ohhh.. I meant to say that I don't think that WP Is going to take customers away from iDroid..

5. rodneyej1

Posts: 3576; Member since: Jul 06, 2013

I predict that WP Will continue it's slow, but steady growth, and eventually, in the coming years, take over Apple.. Android will be WP's direct competitor, and these two will rule the market...

7. bucky

Posts: 3797; Member since: Sep 30, 2009

iPhone isn't going anywhere as long as there are macs. Nobody does ecosystem better. I see google losing customers eventually because of ads absolutely everywhere and an obscene amount of tracking they're doing.

8. rodneyej1

Posts: 3576; Member since: Jul 06, 2013

Who said that the iPhone would be going anywhere❔.. That's crazy talk.. Its just that with WP only 10% less global market share than iOS, and WP having close to 40 different current models of phones on the market, vs Apples 2, its a no brainer that WP will eventually surpassed the iPhone in global market share... I would say that WP is Necessarily going to take any customers away from Android, or iOS, just yet either.. WP will grow because of new smartphone users who aren't already locked into a specific ecosystem, and also grow as a result of the entire smartphone marketing growing itself.. Apple, and Google will no doubt grow as well, but during this growth positions will shift.. We're already seeing evidence of this take place in several markets around the world.

4. twens

Posts: 1195; Member since: Feb 25, 2012

9It's is two things. Apple will continue to sell iPhones because there are people who want to look cool using apple devices. Also not everyone is interested in the almost pc like features of android. Android or Google will also continue to increase their market share because people are getting educated about what android can do and what IOS can't through YouTube videos, Samsung ads and so on. If apple releases a huge screen phone android will suffer and I mean all android oems. But if Google also optimizes android to the point it works like IOS yet maintaning all the features then Apple will sink pass blackberry.

2. Whateverman

Posts: 3295; Member since: May 17, 2009

I have a prediction that I'm not too happy about... I predict that Google will start losing customers to iOS and WP because of all the freakin' ads you have to endure while using an Android device! Sure, I get that Google is at heart an advertising company and that's how they make their money. But its getting a little out of hand now. Every three or four videos you watch on Youtube are preceded and followed by an ad. Almost every free app or game on Android has ads at the start, or ads at the top and bottom. If Go SMS sends me one more promotion ad, I'm going back to the stock app! I love Android, but Ad blockers are not working on 4.3 and it making my experience very frustrating. To the point that I'm really thinking about other alternatives. Google, please get your ads under control before this becomes a real issue for other users as well.

3. eN16HTMAR3

Posts: 253; Member since: Oct 08, 2013

Google will always have the options/ features/ customization in their OS that people want. I dont see Apple changing these things much. Just look at the iPhone 5 and iPhone 5same. They did almost nothing to improve the OS; granted people still went crazy over buying the same phone they did last year. I just see Goolge as pushing inovation and exploring new fetures to make their phones better where as with Apple. Their main focus is always going to be how to make more money for less product.

9. Whateverman

Posts: 3295; Member since: May 17, 2009

I agree. By far I think Android is the better product. I just see the ads on Google products increasing more and more and its really becoming a problem. At least for me.

10. alexvv

Posts: 165; Member since: Oct 16, 2013

i know not everybody knows how to do so but you can always root your device.. and have no drawback. android gives you that choice

12. Whateverman

Posts: 3295; Member since: May 17, 2009

True, but I (for some reason) updated my Note 2 to 4.3 and I haven't seen a root out there for it yet. Maybe I'll hunt around this weekend for one, but for those who know nothing of might be a problem.

1. hmd74

Posts: 546; Member since: Jan 31, 2013

I think Samsung will let Android go and Galaxys will have tizen... :-/

6. -Shadow-

Posts: 95; Member since: Mar 26, 2013

this would not happen even if tizen was miles better than Android (currently is the opposite). A big part of samsung's success comes from the fact that it is Androids best. the only way for tizen to work is if it is implemented gradually.

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