IDC says smartphone shipments declined last year and won't resume growth until 2019

IDC says smartphone shipments declined last year and won't resume growth until 2019
According to research firm IDC, global smartphone shipments declined .3% last year to 1.465 billion units. Following an expected .2% decline in shipments to 1.462 billion handsets this year, IDC sees the market turning around with 3% annual growth from 2019 onward. By 2022, 1.654 billion phones will be delivered IDC estimates, which would result in a five year compounded annual growth rate of 2.4%.

IDC computes that Android flavored handsets will make up 84.8% of the smartphones shipped globally this year. That comes to 1.246 billion phones. Shipments of iOS powered handsets are expected to reach 221.4 million in 2018, for a market share of 15.1%. IDC forecasts that in 2022, Android phones delivered will reach 1.411 billion units (85.3% of total global shipments) for a compounded annual growth rate of 2.5%. That year, iOS shipments will rise to 242.5 million phones IDC forecasts. But with a compounded annual growth rate of 2.4%, slightly under the total smartphone market's expected 2.5% compounded annual growth rate, the iPhone's market share will decline slightly to 14.7% four years from now.

Keep in mind that 2018-2022 shipments are all estimated, and real-life results could be much different. For example, earlier today we told you about Daniel Ives, an analyst at GBH Insights who forecasts that Apple will sell 350 million iPhone handsets over the next 12 to 18 months. Part of this forecast is based on the 60 million to 70 million iPhone owners in China that Ives says are due for an upgrade.

IDC forecasts growth returning to the smartphone market starting in 2019

IDC forecasts growth returning to the smartphone market starting in 2019


source: IDC

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6 Comments

1. AmashAziz

Posts: 2869; Member since: Jun 30, 2014

Predictions can both make you a fortuneteller baba and destroy you.

2. RevolutionA

Posts: 389; Member since: Sep 30, 2017

Maybe people are buying Apple products instead of Samsung's

3. iPhoneFanboy

Posts: 286; Member since: Apr 21, 2018

That's ok. The iPhone X is the #1 selling phone.

4. tokuzumi

Posts: 1759; Member since: Aug 27, 2009

We are well into the point of diminishing returns. The S9 really isn't an upgrade over the S8. Both are great phones, but if you have the S8, there's no reason to upgrade to the 9. U12+ is the same as the U11+. Aside from the iPhone X, the 8/8 Plus isn't a super upgrade over the 7/7 Plus. I sold my OnePlus 3T last week, and I've been using a Galaxy S6 while I'm trying to decide what phone to buy. And it's been handled everything I do on a daily basis with no hiccups. Not too shabby for a 3 year old phone. I'm waiting for a used Essential or Xperia XZ2 Compact to get into my price range. Or maybe I'll just wait until the Pixel 3 (non-XL variant) comes out.

5. xfire99

Posts: 1203; Member since: Mar 14, 2012

With the prices today, 2019 will decline even more. Hire me as Analyst! :p

6. midan

Posts: 2485; Member since: Oct 09, 2017

Android companies need to step up their game, all of them are selling more or less the same. Markets are full of generic Android phones which no-one wants.

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