Will the iPhone end up at T-Mobile instead of Verizon?

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Will the iPhone end up at T-Mobile instead of Verizon?
With every one expecting a Verizon branded version of the iPhone to come to market 3 seconds after AT&T's exclusivity expires, one analyst has a different idea. Doug Reid is a pencil pushing analyst at Thomas Weisel and he says that the growing rift between AT&T and Verizon, as we have seen in the battle of the T,V, ads, has formed a chasm too wide to be repaired. Reid says that the nation's fourth largest carrier would be a more likely home for Apple's touchscreen device. Noting that the iPhone is already sold through the German arm of T-Mobile, Reid adds, "Apple wants to move away from exclusivity; T-Mobile would achieve this for Apple in the U.S."

Shaw Wu, an analyst for Kaufman Brothers, also points out that with Apple pushing customers to its iTunes site. that would compete with Big Red's proprietary VCast music and videos. Wu also notes that Apple gets about $700 for each iPhone from AT&T. Verizon's cost basis on the DROID is $450 paid to Motorola, so that is a $250 gap that Apple and Verizon would have to discuss before striking a deal. The current popularity of the Motorola DROID and its acceptance as the first real iPhone challenger on Verizon may also lessen the carrier's determination to land the iPhone. The analyst says that both T-Mobile and Sprint would be more compatible with Apple's goals. Wu notes that "from a technology perspective, we believe T-Mobile may have an advantage with a similar 3G UMTS/WCDMA network as AT&T."  Both AT&T and T-Mobile are GSM carriers as opposed to Verizon and Sprint with their CDMA technology. That could be another point in favor of T-Mobile. In Verizon's favor is the larger number of potential iPhone users currently using the largest carrier in the U.S. and of course, there is the network. Widely considered to be the best in the country, Big Red was just named Consumer Reports' top carrier as we informed you yesterday. AT&T was last. It might just come down to the current battle between AT&T and Verizon and the bridges burned by the latter during this scorched Earth campaign.

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source: TheStreet
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41 Comments

40. Homotechual

Posts: 65; Member since: Oct 27, 2009

First off Techfan, T-Mobile might be the FOURTH largest carrier but it has 34 million customers under it's belt, and it's the SECOND largest GSM network in the states. Being an employee we get a lot of AT&T customers begging for us to release the IPhone so they can make the switch. Beleive it or not, Iphone going to T-Mobile will do good things for the Iphone either way. And YouLostTheGame, The Iphone is the new Razr if you remember when the Razr came out on AT&T and T-Mobile first, then hitting Verizon almost a year later and Sprint last. I hate when people discredit T-Mobile on here, if your going to discredit carriers talk about MetroPCS, Cricket, Virgin Mobile. But T-mobile?

41. YouLostTheGame

Posts: 441; Member since: Dec 11, 2008

Ummmm, sorry bro, but NEVER ONCE did I mention above ANYTHING in relation to T-Mobile. Next time try to "act" instead of "react" to a post. My point, which you obviously missed was: It's not NEARLY as unfathomable for Apple to make a CDMA/WCDMA iPhone. The best situation, in my opinion, would be to open up the iPhone entirely in the States for anyone on any carrier to buy one. And just because the Razr lost it's flair, don't think for a second that will happen in the end with the iPhone. This is Apple we're talking about. Like it or not, they are masters of product innovation and reinvention. Thus, the iPod is still the number one selling digital music player available.

32. YouLostTheGame

Posts: 441; Member since: Dec 11, 2008

I don't understand why people on here think that just because the iPhone is currently a GSM only device that "it could never happen" that a new dual chipset from Qaulcomm couldn't be put into the iPhone. Analysts are pretty much what we are on here. They read the fucking news and make a "prediction". The only diff is, they get paid to do it. Besides, we already have the CEO of Qualcomm going on record as being in talks with Apple, and seeing as Qualcomm is a MAJOR manufacturer of CDMA chipsets, it's just not that much of a stretch for me to think the next iPhone will be compatible with Big Red. Either way, the future seems bright for the cellphone industry, and I can't wait to see what's around the bend!

26. Techfan13

Posts: 2; Member since: Dec 02, 2009

Why would Steve Jobs allow his masterpiece to go to the FOURTH largest company. I could see HP or Dell making a phone and selling it through T-moblie, but I highly doubt Jobs will do that.

9. mulda71

Posts: 42; Member since: Jun 25, 2009

Ridiculous article... what does the fact that ATT and VZW hate each other have to do with VZW getting the iphone? Man that's stupid.

23. dandirk unregistered

I agree... If anyone thinks that the ATT vs Verizon issues lately would be a major deciding factor on whether or not Apple decides to release a phone with a particular carrier is stretching... Apple wants to sell their phones and itunes service period, why they would pass on the ability to access all the verizon customers over a silly 3G ad spat is just silly. Other issues I could easily see but the ATT/VZW rivalry? Don't think so.

25. deschats

Posts: 193; Member since: Jun 09, 2009

mhm exactly. apple could care even less that the two carriers are eachothers rival. apple wants money. merry christmas ;)

7. htc_prep

Posts: 303; Member since: Oct 09, 2009

at the end of the day. does it matter?

11. drewsky

Posts: 147; Member since: Jan 04, 2009

Nope! There are better phones than Iphone out there.

14. AZNphoneGeek

Posts: 200; Member since: May 15, 2009

thankyou drewsky!

20. bagsofcole

Posts: 30; Member since: May 19, 2009

no there aren't, for the layman anyway. ive tried the pre, the iphone, the droid, and a couple of blackberrys, and the iphone is defiantly #1. now if i could get a family plan with my wifes verizon chocolate.... sweet

24. deschats

Posts: 193; Member since: Jun 09, 2009

bagsofcole, why did you have to be the one to go and ruin a perfectly finished off comments. there is no such thing as a "better phone" its what a person wants and needs. i wish people would understand that. merry christmas everyone!

6. InstinctDemon

Posts: 74; Member since: Nov 09, 2009

I would laugh even more if the iPhone went to Sprint and T-Mobile but NOT Verizon

10. mthoren68

Posts: 66; Member since: Sep 21, 2009

THAT would make you laugh? Your life is so pathetic and empty that a particular carrier NOT getting a particular phone would register on your enjoyment scale? You are so sorry and sad that, instead of getting joy from something you experience or accomplish, you revel in the misfortune - real or perceived - of others with whom you have no relationship? Holy crap, you are truly pitiable. You are a small, small person.

17. InstinctDemon

Posts: 74; Member since: Nov 09, 2009

Yes that would make me laugh, hey without sadness there won't be joy! Pitiful? Me? I don't think so. but to be honest, I could really care less.. I am just being bored right now and what a wonderful way of killing time, and oh, I will not lose sleep over this either. Ok back to life.. la lala la la la la!

31. deago78

Posts: 172; Member since: Oct 08, 2009

You just spent 4 lines of text condemning a guy for finding something funny...

4. crappypunk

Posts: 131; Member since: Aug 15, 2009

yeah but apple is releasing a cdma iphone in south korea, this is all just speculation, and this could go either way.. I would think the better idea would be to make more money for apple.. so go w verizon, though verizon has passed on the iphone once before

3. Illyich

Posts: 167; Member since: Oct 13, 2009

It's really kind of silly. The iPhone is cool and all, but it certainly isn't the greatest thing in the world. I does certain things better than other phones, and other phones do certain things better than it. There's more than just two phones out there, kids. A lot of people on Verizon would love to get their hands on the iPhone. There are some outspoken members of this site who proudly proclaim that they'd never use an iphone, even if it was given to them for free, someone paid their monthly service bills, and their mother would be put to death if they refused. It's just a phone.

5. vzw fanman

Posts: 1977; Member since: Dec 11, 2008

thaks for quoting me illyich, you know i do have a name...http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=722895114&ref=search&sid=722895114.491039751..1

8. JackFace

Posts: 190; Member since: Nov 03, 2009

...Hahaha!!! You just gave out your Facebook address!!! Why in the Hell would you proclaim your facebook address on a Phone Site, much less Phonearena?? Wow!!

12. neoncp

Posts: 8; Member since: Dec 02, 2009

wow calm down dude, not everybody on the internet is out to get you

13. JackFace

Posts: 190; Member since: Nov 03, 2009

Ok, I'm Calm Now... Still funny.

15. vzw fanman

Posts: 1977; Member since: Dec 11, 2008

it's all good man. what's the big deal? and i don't know why you are reacting like that jack.

18. JackFace

Posts: 190; Member since: Nov 03, 2009

I guess I find it hilarious because we are a bunch of arguing fact/opinion-fanboyish/but not reallyish tech-nerd-phone-enthusiasts here... Facebook anyone? Wanna all be friends? Facebook each other? I guess it's just a little too intimate, as far as I am concerned, for a phone website. I just find it funny, that's all. (I am not concerned about security or people out to get each other, I am looking at this as kind of silly)

19. vzw fanman

Posts: 1977; Member since: Dec 11, 2008

i want to see what you look like. do you have fb

21. Illyich

Posts: 167; Member since: Oct 13, 2009

I'm at work right now. I'll totally friend you when I get home, though. We can be bestest internet buds and yell at each other here.

22. Illyich

Posts: 167; Member since: Oct 13, 2009

And in a few days, you can help me set up my iPhone! :D

27. vzw fanman

Posts: 1977; Member since: Dec 11, 2008

Ha ok then.

30. deago78

Posts: 172; Member since: Oct 08, 2009

That was quite an interesting series of posts...

33. vzw fanman

Posts: 1977; Member since: Dec 11, 2008

everyone on facebook become a fan of phone arena!!!

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