IDC sees smartphone shipments growing this year after a slump in 2016

Last year was the worst ever for global smartphone shipments as handset deliveries rose only 2.5% for 2016. According to analytical firm IDC, business will start returning to growth  mode as the number of shipments should rise by 3% this year. That amounts to 1.52 billion units forecast by IDC to be delivered this year. And for 2018, the increase in shipments will reach 4.5%. IDC says that improved economic conditions in emerging markets will partially be responsible for a 50% hike in growth. Another reason will be the extreme popularity of  the tenth anniversary Apple iPhone that has been dubbed the iPhone 8. IDC also says that half of the world's population doesn't own a smartphone.

IDC sees iPhone sales growing 3.8% this year and building on that figure next year. The analytical firm predicts that Apple will ship 223.6 million handsets this year, a slight decline from previous forecasts. But the firm raised its 2018 shipping estimate to 240.4 million units, which would be a 7.5% gain year-over-year. As for Android, the fastest growing region is the Middle East and Africa with 10% year-over-year growth. By 2021, IDC sees 1.5 billion Android phones shipping with an average selling price of $198.

The analytics firm expects that displays will be the next battlefield over the next two years. IDC cites the new 18:9 borderless displays from Samsung and LG as a prelude to bigger, brighter and bolder screens that will allow consumers to enjoy a better media streaming experience from their handsets.

Overall, IDC doesn't anticipate much change in market share over the next five years. By 2021, Android will own 85.5% of the smartphone market from this year's estimate of 85.1% Apple will see its slice of the pie decline from 14.7% to 14.5%, and Windows Phone will go from .1% of the market to practically 0%. 

source: IDC via FierceWireless



4. TechieXP1969

Posts: 14967; Member since: Sep 25, 2013

In 2020, Android will be 87~90% of the smartphone market, with Apple and others fighting for scraps, with Apple having 8/9% of what is left. Windows Phone is gonna pretty much be dead with 0.1% share. The only way Microsoft comes back, is to make a phone that can run Windows x86. The ability to plug in a cable, and not use a dock to a display and use a mouse and keyboard, would be a great accomplishment. Microsoft will be making its own phone. Like a Surface Phone by then Windows on ARM is about to take a new leap, and from using the beta, I can say they are doing a really good job. I don;'t see Apple growing much, because most buyers are upgrades. Unless Apple gets a lucky buy in India, Apple isn't gonna grow much. I see sells dropping even with the iPhone 8. Because many IOS users use older apps which iOS11 won't support.

2. ibend

Posts: 6747; Member since: Sep 30, 2014

2021 shipment volume for windows phones : 0.3 million what? did they think WP will still around in 2021? lol..

1. KingSam

Posts: 1551; Member since: Mar 13, 2016

Display prices will increase with all this fuss. Maybe standard 16:9 screens will become even cheaper due to less appeal?

3. sgodsell

Posts: 7674; Member since: Mar 16, 2013

In 2015 Apple sold 237 million iPhone's. In 2016 Apple sold even less. Android has never seen a decline yet. Sure some OEMs have seen some declines. But overall Android has yet to see a decline. As far as WP is concerned. Even Microsoft has pulled all it's smartphones from its own stores. The only place that I have seen any Windows Phone devices for sale recently is at Walmart, and they were prepaid WP devices. Why is it even listed nowadays?

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