Which emerging mobile OS is most likely to succeed?

Which emerging mobile OS is most likely to succeed?
While smartphone manufacturers are popping left and right nowadays, the same can't quite be said about the software running our pocket tech. As with the PC space, creating an operating system is an extremely laborious process, one that offers rather slim odds of financial success. Even today, our trusty computers are mostly limited to a choice between Windows, Mac, and Linux, with Google's long overdue Chrome OS posing the only credible threat to the status-quo. The situation is not that much different in the smartphone world right now -- Android is dominating, while iOS has got its committed following and its second place. Windows Phone 8 managed to make the cut thanks to its powerful creator, but these three are about it. Three operating systems to power an industry appraised in the hundreds of billions. But is this going to be the case forever? No, if you ask the companies behind the four alternative OSes -- Ubuntu Touch, Sailfish, Tizen, and Firefox OS.

Now, each of the companies behind these four mobile operating systems is obviously hoping to launch a credible challenge to the incumbents, even though two of them are not even still on the market. Not officially, anyway. But unless either of these two comes with something completely radical, it seems somewhat fair to assume that the amount of pre-launch excitement they have created correlates with the assuredness its backers have in it making it big at some point. Not at all accidentally, this is what we're looking to find out today, as you've no doubt gleaned already -- which one of the four alternative mobile OSes do you think is best positioned to succeed?

Which emerging mobile OS is most likely to succeed?

Ubuntu Touch
39.12%
Sailfish
23.83%
Tizen
23.18%
Firefox
13.87%

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46 Comments

1. kaikuheadhunterz

Posts: 1157; Member since: Jul 18, 2013

Ubuntu Touch seems really resource-hungry, the first Sailfish OS device is overpriced, we know almost nothing about Tizen (although their minimum system requirement is juicy) and Firefox is almost an incomplete product. Can't believe I'm saying this, but I'll go with Tizen

10. Just.Saying

Posts: 132; Member since: Apr 04, 2013

I'll go with tizen also. Just yesterday i was in a store upgrading my contract and a lady walked in wanting to by a new phone. the consultant asked would yoy like an android or windows phone, The lady replied, NO I WANT A SAMSUNG PHONE. This is not an isolated coincidence as there are many people out there who are obliviouse to what OS their phone runs on. Im not saying it will be as popular as android or IOS, what im saying is it will sell better than the new comers because of Samsung

16. aksa123

Posts: 367; Member since: Jan 30, 2014

Tizen is just like android and wp8 mixed together; no new experience.

17. Finalflash

Posts: 4063; Member since: Jul 23, 2013

Yea, went with ubuntu because it should offer a near full linux experience which allows a lot of customization and allow running desktop applications maybe. Tizen is just not something that appeals to me because of their lack of any real value over current choices.

21. tusshharish

Posts: 342; Member since: Oct 23, 2012

In my opinion the sailfish and ubuntu will be good smartphone os because ubuntu is good looking and easy to use and sailfish is made my ex-members of nokia and have android app support........... Since i haven't seen anything about tizen os i will stuck to ubuntu and sailfish

39. tasior

Posts: 265; Member since: Nov 04, 2012

I think, the success of Tizen is strictly bond to the relation between Google and Samsung. For now it looks, like this relation is good eegain. That means no future or 'backup of android future' for Tizen. As for me, I really hope, Sailfish will succeed. It looks, like there really are right guys, at the right place. They work on every detail, to make it convenient for everyday use. There may be steep learning curve, but once You learn the gestures, it looks great to use. I think, that right now it's a niche - people who want to learn gestures, but there was a time were touch screens were a niche. If people will see advantages of gestures, Sailfish may change the world.

33. akki20892

Posts: 3902; Member since: Feb 04, 2013

All are good, but let's wait for tizen release. I guess Ubuntu and Selfish are great os for high end. Both have great UI. And Firefox is great for budget range. And tizen is just for Samsung so i don't care about it.

35. bossmt_2

Posts: 459; Member since: Oct 13, 2009

I voted for Ubuntu because as of right now, it's the only one I'd consider leaving Android for, but Tizen is the most likely to succeed because it's got potentially the deepest pockets behind it. That said Tizen could also be the ruination of Samsung, if they start pushing Tizen and focus less on their galaxy line, they may lose what's made them so rich in mobile. PErsonally I don't get the need for Tizen, I guess they make more money because they can take home more ad revenue, but Android is a free OS, you dno't have to spend time doing R&D on your OS.

37. kaikuheadhunterz

Posts: 1157; Member since: Jul 18, 2013

I guess it's their backup OS in case Android fails? I don't bother with the intention of companies, I just accept that it has happened

2. SleepingOz unregistered

My money is on Ubuntu Touch since we know almost nothing about Tizen atm..

43. bart7773

Posts: 7; Member since: Oct 04, 2009

I think that Ubuntu is a very cool offering especially with convergence in mind. I'm a fan of the concept but I'm also concerned about adoption. Based on the voting polls, I was pleasantly surprised by the support Ubuntu is getting. On the other hand, what little we do know is that Tizen is that, based on what I've seen, very similar to Android. I would have to say that right now, I think Tizen has the best chance of being a "success" because of who is supporting it. Samsung has deep pockets and several years of success in this market. Additionally, they have been very good at marketing their brand and not Android. PURE speculation... I could see Sammy sliding Android out and Tizen into one of their handsets, even if it's an off-shoot. Something like Galaxy S5 is Android but a few months later there is a Galaxy S5.1 that runs Tizen. With that said though, I hope all of these OS's do well and keep pushing innovation.

3. reckless562

Posts: 1153; Member since: Sep 09, 2013

ppl know about firefox at least.....

40. PBXtech

Posts: 1032; Member since: Oct 21, 2013

That's why I voted for it. I'm hoping for Ubuntu, but Firefox is practically a household name.

4. _Bone_

Posts: 2155; Member since: Oct 29, 2012

Neither will succeed.

5. snowgator

Posts: 3621; Member since: Jan 19, 2011

I voted Tizen. Samsung's deep pockets and Intel working with them = best chance. But that is all relative. I am not sure what any of them bring to the market so amazingly different they would pose a threat.

18. Finalflash

Posts: 4063; Member since: Jul 23, 2013

Maybe, but I have seen Samsung OSes now and in the past and they aren't exactly inspirational. Intel can't really do anything much for software though so I am not exactly expecting them to be the killer feature maker in that group.

6. srk_srinivas

Posts: 22; Member since: Dec 27, 2010

Tizen because of mighty samsung...

7. Reality_Check

Posts: 277; Member since: Aug 15, 2013

Although I want Ubuntu Touch to be the most successful, let's face it, Samsung and Intel have a ton of cash and industry presence.. So I'm gonna go with Tizen to be the one most likely to succeed.

8. NotAGeek

Posts: 279; Member since: Jan 26, 2014

What about China Operating System?

9. hmd74

Posts: 540; Member since: Jan 31, 2013

Do these run Android apps? So what's the deffrence between Android and these?!?

12. rodneyej1

Posts: 3576; Member since: Jul 06, 2013

Dude, we're talking about the future.. Look past Android.. Not to say that Android won't be a strong player in the future, but circumstances will be less dependent on what current leaders are doing, and have to offer... Times will change.

13. hmd74

Posts: 540; Member since: Jan 31, 2013

No i'm just talking about apps... And i think if an OS can run applications from another OS, there's no deffrence between them! For example Amazon could say Kindle devices use Kindle OS but the OS can run Android apps!

19. Finalflash

Posts: 4063; Member since: Jul 23, 2013

They can emulate Android apps but there is always a performance hit and some instability with that. Some will have more unique navigation and such with more gestures maybe and what not. Most will be about the same and will only have a niche following when released.

11. rodneyej1

Posts: 3576; Member since: Jul 06, 2013

Probably Tizen for obvious reasons... This is the most logical bet.

14. m_sam7

Posts: 5; Member since: Jan 17, 2014

if sailfish get well promoted then it will be on top for sure..

15. Genersis

Posts: 219; Member since: May 29, 2013

Hmmm, I think it's between Tizen and Sailfish... I guess I see Sailfish doing well if it can differentiate itself from Android more than Tizen, Unfortunately they don't have the backing to make too many mistakes... So I'll go with Sailfish; they have more potential to succeed. But Tizen does have less chance of dying off considering the companies supporting it.

20. nicholassss

Posts: 368; Member since: May 10, 2012

I'm most interested in Ubuntu touch, but the financial resources Samsung and Intel Tizen probably has the best shot.

22. Burtalmighty

Posts: 2; Member since: Jan 27, 2014

I've gone Ubuntu Touch as Ubuntu already have experience with their desktop OS. Firefoxs mobile OS might get somewhere, we've seen a browser evolve into an OS before (Chrome OS) but I don't think Sailfish or Tizen will get far. Especially Tizen. I'm sorry, I know a lot of people think it's going to be a strong contender... But look at its roots... Samsung are making it, and that's what worries me. They once made Bada, and I know from experience that it was its name minus the second 'a'. Just my opinion guys.

23. bakarock

Posts: 57; Member since: Aug 29, 2013

can't decide between ubuntu touch and sailfish OS.

24. AhmadAlsayegh

Posts: 326; Member since: Jul 18, 2011

at least I know that Ubuntu will have the support of the linux user community, which is not small... Personally I would pay for a device that would give me the openness of the Nokia N900, so I would go with Ubuntu Sailfish had a really bad start; considering their outdated specs and high price tag, I think they will be acquired by a big name Tizen will just disappear like Bada Firefox, a half baked OS I wish Meego was a part of Nokia's strategy, I believe we would have been somewhere else by now...

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