Throwback Friday: IDC once predicted that Windows Phone will dominate iOS by 2016
posted by Chris P. / Jan 29, 2016, 9:43 AM
Phone would, by 2016, overtake Apple's iOS by market share.
That's a pretty bold claim, especially given the company reported that Windows Phone, at the time, held just 5.2% of the market. Nevertheless, the report in question forecast that it'll end up beating iOS, which had a little over 19% of the pie. Android was expected to fall down to about 53% from its respectable 61% share in 2012. To put these number in perspective, the latest IDC numbers put Android at nearly 83%, Apple's iOS at about 14%, and Windows Phone... at 2.6%. Yep, exactly half the market share Microsoft's mobile OS held back in 2012.
The moral of the story? Everybody makes mistakes—even gross ones such as this—and we all ought to be careful with the conclusions we make. Or just steer clear from prophesying.
Posts: 13; Member since: Sep 17, 2015
I doubt that they may published that article on April-01-2012
posted on Jan 29, 2016, 9:52 AM 2
Posts: 7242; Member since: Mar 16, 2013
Just last quarter alone should tells a lot. 399 million smartphones sold from October to the end of December. 74.8 million were Apple for (18.7%). 4.5 million were Windows Phone/10 mobile (1.1%). 319 million were Android (80.1%) The real story is Android and its continued growth. Way to go Android.
posted on Jan 29, 2016, 12:52 PM 3
Posts: 1485; Member since: Mar 18, 2012
The Lumia 520 wasn't going dominate anything. It was just really affordable and it did what it did really well. They were going to dominate with their design, specs, or store. I predicted this and I was right. lol
posted on Jan 29, 2016, 9:55 AM 1
Posts: 527; Member since: Jun 05, 2015
the title should have mentioned that Android was predicted to fall but it only grew... you guys are on fire today lol
posted on Jan 29, 2016, 9:58 AM 8
Posts: 565; Member since: Mar 29, 2013
What's up with all these Pro-Apple propaganda articles
posted on Jan 29, 2016, 10:16 AM 3
Posts: 6023; Member since: Dec 30, 2010
And I wonder if these same analyst predicted consoles to be dead because the Wii U was flopping all over the place in 2012, 2013. The PS4, Xbox One launched and put that madness to rest. Consoles arent dead...just Nintendo home consoles are. For now. Good luck Nintendo with the NX.
posted on Jan 29, 2016, 10:48 AM 1
Posts: 2236; Member since: Jun 14, 2013
When all of your mobile lines (Surface + Phones) are making less than the Apple Watch, your lineup isn't a joke, it's the punchline.
posted on Jan 29, 2016, 1:12 PM 2
Posts: 7; Member since: Dec 17, 2014
Do people really think that having only iOS and Android as the only phone choices is a good future? The first charges an arm and a leg, while the 2nd mines every bit of your data that they can. Things will not be better if Microsoft and Blackberry leave this market and others such as Firefox and Amazon find it next to impossible to enter it. We need to encourage more competition, not root for less.
posted on Jan 30, 2016, 11:27 AM 2
Posts: 567; Member since: Jun 27, 2013
I agree completely. I'd like nothing more than a serious third—even fourth—player to be able to compete. Unfortunately, at this point it's looking like it can't be done. People like poking fun at Microsoft, but if a company that size can't get it done, there's little hope for other players. Perhaps when we're looking at the next big paradigm shift, we'll see new faces enter the arena. Until then, duopoly it is.
posted on Jan 31, 2016, 5:05 AM 0
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