More of the same: T-Mobile to continue to outpace AT&T, Sprint, and Verizon in subscriber growth

More of the same: T-Mobile to continue to outpace AT&T, Sprint, and Verizon in subscriber growth
Now that the first three months of 2015 are behind us, we will begin to see reports from the carriers about their financial growth (or not) as well as their subscriber growth (or not).

T-Mobile, who for the better part of the past two years has been outperforming the rest of the US market combined, is expected to continue posting subscriber growth numbers that cast a shadow upon the other three national carriers.

For the first quarter of this year however, not only is T-Mobile probably going to report additions of about a million customers, but expectations are that we will see negative “handset adds from the other carriers,” according to analysis by Wells Fargo.

While that makes things look all bright and shiny for Team Magenta, this growth is coming at a cost. T-Mobile has been relentless with its Un-carrier campaign, but with each new promotion, from Data Stash to the recent “Carrier Freedom” initiative which pays off other carrier device payment plans for up to 10 lines, there is substantial pressure on the carrier’s ability to maintain a healthy profit margin. The Wells Fargo analysts have lowered earnings expectations a bit, but no one is sounding any alarms.

Sprint may post very modest additions, but of the 50,000 or so adds, the thinking is that it will be nearly all tablet additions. On the actual customer numbers, Sprint is expected to post a loss again.

AT&T and Verizon are thought to show continued growth with tablets as well, while still adding customers across the board, about 400,000 and 600,000 respectively. For their part, AT&T’s and Verizon’s churn rates will likely get even lower, a smidgen above 1% each.

All-in-all, it will be more of the same, though a lot of people are interested in what Sprint is planning for the year ahead. This year’s first quarter is the fiscal fourth quarter Sprint, so not only will there be details about performance, but plans for capital expenditures on its network and other plans that are very important to Sprint’s future.

source: FierceWireless

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59 Comments

1. QWERTYslider unregistered

Why would anyone pick T-mobile over the other options ???

4. bigbmc26

Posts: 43; Member since: May 10, 2012

I chose them because they have great service where I live & travel for a great price. VZW plasters their logo all over everything and are way overpriced, at&t is a great GSM carrier, but they also nickel and dime you for everything. Sprint just sucked when I had them, CS as well as service. There's one person's reasons for giving T-Mobile their money. $68 a month after my corp discount, unlimited everything. Can't beat 'em.

11. arch_angel

Posts: 1651; Member since: Feb 20, 2015

t Mobile has the fastest 4G LTE speeds. they have great plans, and there coverage is becoming a lot better real fast

13. Berzerk000

Posts: 4275; Member since: Jun 26, 2011

All of the Uncarrier campaign benefits. Music streaming doesn't count towards your data cap, no overages if you go over that data cap (just reduced speeds), data stash so your unused data rolls over into next month, WiFi calling/texting on all devices without third party apps, which does help make up for T-Mobile lackluster coverage. Also, T-Mobile's plans are generally cheaper for the same amount of features, and they have a true unlimited option. The only thing that keeps me from jumping back to T-Mobile is their coverage and my contract with Verizon. However, T-Mobile will pay off my contract with Verizon for me, and once they switch all of their 2G towers to LTE in a few months, their coverage will be solid. I'll be on T-Mobile at the end of the year guaranteed, they're kicking ass lately I want to be on the train.

43. Augustine

Posts: 1043; Member since: Sep 28, 2013

In my regular travels, there used to be long stretches at 2G. Since late last year though, I've experienced LTE (using band 2) almost all the way. There still are some 2G spots, but I suspect that they'll be converted to LTE in no time as well. As long as one's phone is capable of LTE on band 2, coverage should improve quite a bit even before band 12 is rolled out, which, unfortunately, too few phones support for now.

17. Omarc07

Posts: 574; Member since: Nov 12, 2012

i dont have tmobile anymore i had all carriers sprint is the worse ,tmobile performed waaaaaaaaaay better than sprint here in los angeles and san fransisco there lte left sprints lte in the dust in terms of speed,i now have att which coverage wise is okay but has nowhere the crystal clear call quality tmobile had .Att sounds staticky sometimes.

18. Planterz

Posts: 2120; Member since: Apr 30, 2012

I live in Tucson Arizona, and T-Mobile has the fastest network here. And when/if band 12 ever rolls out here, it'll be even better. My parents live in SD, my brother in Denver, and T-Mobile is strong there too. Although if I traveled, I might pick up a prepaid SIM from an AT&T MVNO just for better rural coverage. Fastest LTE speeds in town, and I have unlimited high-speed data. Since I'm a bachelor that lives alone, this means I can eliminate home internet, use my phone's internet on my computer (PdaNet) and tablet (Wifi Tether Router [root]) and save hundreds of dollars a year eliminating cable. AT&T and VZW don't offer unlimited data and would be prohibitively expensive for my needs. Plus they love to lock their devices' bootloaders, so root junkies like me might be presented with amazing devices, yet be unable to unlock their true potential. And Sprint just sucks. Through employer benefits I could get Sprint for really cheap, but it's not worth it. Can't use unlocked devices like T-Mo and AT&T, craptacular network, and BS plans/features. T-Mobile gives me unlimited high-speed, they allow unlocked devices, (usually) don't lock bootloaders, and don't lock you into a contract. I switched to them from Verizon a little over a year ago, and no BS, this has saved me hundreds of dollars. Probably near to a couple thousand, if you consider I don't have cable TV, but just download it later or watch it with Amazon Prime. Verizon is the douchiest provider around. Their overages are the worst. No warning, no cut-off with the option to continue, and no pro-rating (use 1KB or 999..99MB over your allotment, and it's $10 either way). It would cost them practically nothing to give you unlimited data with throttled speeds after your allotment (with the option to pay more for additional high-speed), but they don't, because they make so much by bending you over with overages. When AT&T followed T-Mo by offering data rollover, Verizon said "#$%^ that, we're Verizon".

27. MartinSzy

Posts: 2; Member since: Apr 18, 2015

Shhh about the PdaNet. hehe

28. willard12 unregistered

No international roaming.

59. elitewolverine

Posts: 5192; Member since: Oct 28, 2013

It is still there in the plan

29. bugsbunny00

Posts: 2265; Member since: Jun 07, 2013

t-mobile the best UN-carrier.

31. JoeJoe1

Posts: 5; Member since: Mar 27, 2015

UNLIMITED DATA im not talking about the 1,3,5Gb plans im talking about the 4th Plan the UNLIMITED LTE PLAN which is $100 for the 1st 2 lines and $40 for the 3rd etc.... Att and Verizon 's coverage is good but what's the whole point of being with them if their Data services are capped...half the customers want to be able to watch Netflix etc.. on The GO that 4-6gb would be enough for maybe 5 movies in HD i was verizon for a long time but after watching 1 youtube video for 3mins long it used up 500MB of data This is why people would choose tmobile and Sprint Just Sucks all around

49. mrej201

Posts: 226; Member since: Feb 04, 2015

agree bro

2. bfuller2006

Posts: 85; Member since: Oct 31, 2011

well atleast over Sprint anyway... Tmobile seems so low rent to me...

3. ajac09

Posts: 1482; Member since: Sep 30, 2009

Tmobile isproof people are dumb and buy into the hype.

5. bigbmc26

Posts: 43; Member since: May 10, 2012

You do realize if they (TMO) were really that horrible and it was just hype, people could leave anytime. There are no contracts.

7. 14545

Posts: 1835; Member since: Nov 22, 2011

Logic is not necessary to post on phone arena.

25. downbeat4

Posts: 94; Member since: Dec 03, 2010

And payoff what they owe on their phones? I don't think so. Most devices will still cost over $300 after 12 months. "The Hype Carrier"

36. elitewolverine

Posts: 5192; Member since: Oct 28, 2013

If you bring your own there is not 'payoff'. Nearly all phones work, like my 930 with tethering, 1020 without tethering, and many many others. As well you only have to pay what you owe of the phone you BOUGHT. That is like buying a car and refusing to pay for it. Logic is broken in your head. If you buy a 100 phone, you pay 50 after the first year. THAT IS IF you are on EIP. 300 would = 150 etc. So if you have to pay off 600 that means you went all out and bought the higher end.

30. tacarat

Posts: 854; Member since: Apr 22, 2013

Financing on phones replaced the contracts. You must pay them off in full if you leave. Same with any of the carriers doing that now.

32. JoeJoe1

Posts: 5; Member since: Mar 27, 2015

i wouldnt mind a contract on tmobile because no 1 is going to offer a better deal and Unlimited LTE

42. Augustine

Posts: 1043; Member since: Sep 28, 2013

You pay the balance on your phone and get to keep it. If you cannot grasp the difference between this and the early termination fee, when you end up with nothing, you have a mental disability or just mean, ill will.

46. tacarat

Posts: 854; Member since: Apr 22, 2013

Since when did you not keep the phone when you cancelled with an ETF? I love the personal jab.

6. 14545

Posts: 1835; Member since: Nov 22, 2011

How exactly? I could lower my bill by about 50 dollars by changing from vzw to tmo. If I didn't still have vzw unlimited, or if it goes away, then I would/will be a to customer. (spoken as someone who only uses about 4 gb a month.) I'm not paying vzws gouging prices for the same service I have had for 10 years. Sorry, not happening. Vzw can kma.

38. elitewolverine

Posts: 5192; Member since: Oct 28, 2013

You can get the $50 base with the 5gb plan for 20 extra. So 70 or splurge and get the unlimited data plan for 30 putting you at 80 for the month.

8. g2a5b0e unregistered

I've been with T-Mobile for almost 12 years & I assure you that it is NOT hype. And like bigbmc26 just said, if they are terrible, why are people staying? They've had more growth in the last 2 years than any of the other carriers. There are no contracts. People can leave any time. What's really happening here is that people are realizing that they've been overpaying for years their cell service for no real added benefit.

12. darkkjedii

Posts: 31313; Member since: Feb 05, 2011

I'm with AT&T, I'm seriously considering Tmobile. AT&T is fast n all, but expensive.

14. Berzerk000

Posts: 4275; Member since: Jun 26, 2011

The best time to jump ship is in a few months. T-Mobile is switching all of their 2G tower to LTE, and that will finally make their coverage solid, so you won't have to worry as much when travelling outside of big cities.

37. JunitoNH

Posts: 1946; Member since: Feb 15, 2012

Thx you for the tip, see you guys sometimes are useful :) I need solid voice, I still utilize the phone as a phone. I probably only use, max about 3Gb a month.

41. lsutigers

Posts: 832; Member since: Mar 08, 2009

That will certainly not happen in a few months and even with that their native coverage footprint will be smaller than AT&T/Sprint, not to mention, Verizon.

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