IBD: Apple will lose its cool this year

IBD: Apple will lose its cool this year
At the core of the CANSLIM stock investing method used by Investor's Business Daily readers is the  belief that companies have cycles. We have seen Apple ride the coattails of an impressive list of consumer tech products to become one of the most valuable companies in the world. Starting with the Apple iMac and then iPod, iPhone and iPad, the Apple name has become the epitome of technological "cool". For some, merely looking at the Apple logo on the back of an Apple iPhone is enough to trigger the desire to own the device. During that time, the stock has had an amazing run-up from $30 to nearly $400.

But stocks and companies don't rise forever and in 2012, IBD sees some cracks in the Apple image. The paper says that the Apple iPhone is getting stale and looks boxy and flat. According to the paper, "the Samsung Galaxy smartphone seems cooler". Investor's Business Daily adds that with Android being the fastest growing mobile platform, "Apple's software advantage will diminish. Smartphones and tablets will become commodity items and Apple will be eaten by the collective Android gang."

Who can deny that the Apple iPhone is feeling stale? After all, despite the introduction of Siri, the latest version of the device added some features that merely allowed the phone to catch up with Android. And if you examine what changes could be in store for the next iPhone, many of them, such as a larger 4 inch display and LTE connectivity, are already available in Android models.

IBD isn't saying that Apple is going to fall off the face of the earth. But after years of unparalleled growth, the company and its fans have set such a very high bar for Apple, that even a small decline in growth could look like the beginning of a down cycle.

source: IBD via ReadWriteWeb




1. dorfoz

Posts: 156; Member since: Oct 18, 2011

ohh boy!


Posts: 53; Member since: Nov 22, 2011

WOW. Icraps are nothing without Steve Jobs.

17. -RVM-

Posts: 331; Member since: Oct 19, 2011

This has nothing to do with SJ.

42. HTCiscool

Posts: 449; Member since: Jul 16, 2011

I'm just gonna snag onto your comment and speak... Thank you :D The iPhone has done it'd dash, it had a good run, but people are smarter now, a lot of iPhone 4S owners admit that iOS5 sucks compared to ICS, so either way you look at it the iphone is dead, so Apple mY have lost he battle in the cell phone segment. However... The iPad is still very popular and without doubt one of the best tablets. It is smooth, reliable and people would love to own it. Also in the PC market, Macs are easily the best and have a steady and growing customer base. What this article is trying to say, is that the iPhone nay bit be as successful in 2012 as it has been in recent years, that it all

3. gallitoking

Posts: 4721; Member since: May 17, 2011

Once the iphone stop selling and Apple not creating any commotion in the cell phone industry then I will believe it.... other than that ... Apple is not going anywhere...yet

7. JeffdaBeat unregistered

I have to agree here...and I'll step back from my fanboyism... We have heard reports of "Apple is going to fail" so many times before in the case of the iPad, iPad 2, iPhone 4s, iPhone 3GS, and even AppleTV second generation. Every single time, they are wrong. Now I'm not naive enough to think Apple will be on top forever, but becoming uncool for 2012 when we all pretty much figure the iPhone is going to get a total redesign? I think not. The same goes for the iPad 3. Hell, I remember when Jobs announced the original iPad and every single tech analyst wrote it off as just a big iPhone and yet it's changing the way people do business. Doctors, lawyers...hell, even teachers are using the iPad and it's changing the way tech is used in the classroom. Liking Apple isn't just a fad that Apple doesn't deserve. We as nerds can hate Apple all we want, trust me, I know it's some folks' favorite thing to do everyday. But Apple's focus is on the general public, not nerds. The general public loves Apple and have no real reason to stop loving them. Because for once, there is a company making technology accessible for everyone. I'm a nerd and I get plenty of use out of my Apple products. But so can my mother, who didn't grow up with technology. Unless Apple makes a huge misstep, the company will remain cool and popular. Android will absolutely continue to dominate in terms of sales just like Windows has dominated OSX...but Apple is doing just fine being the minority because it is still the most desired tech company out there along with Google.

15. remixfa

Posts: 14605; Member since: Dec 19, 2008

gotta agree.. if the i5 really is a total redesign and improvement I'd be extremely surprised to see it fail. Even if it only sells to iphone peeps looking for the next logical upgrade path thats still quite a bit of sales. Maybe they are talking more about the tablet sector where competition is just starting up? Also they might be talking about the stock value which is as much perception as it is performance. If the ipad 3 and i5 merely "toe the line" it could be seen as a "failure "... I doubt apple would care too much though as even that "failure " would garner them billions more because of their astronomical profit ratios.

25. mctcm

Posts: 204; Member since: Oct 19, 2011

stock value is traded at a multiple of earnings. those earnings are projected based on sales estimates of is**t. if those projections arent met or are reduced, the stock valuation (read: price) will fall accordingly.

16. Droid_X_Doug

Posts: 5993; Member since: Dec 22, 2010

I don't see Apple 'failing' anytime soon, but they will come under increasing pressure to innovate that they will not be able to use patents to shield themselves from. The record on patent enforcement is basically a mixed bag. Apple is going to have to step up their innovation game. Android is moving the bar up with ICS. MS may or may not get their act together with WP8. And, and, and. I am personally quite happy to benefit from the pressure to innovate.

22. JeffdaBeat unregistered

The thing is...they may not have to do much innovation. I think we can all agree that Apple doesn't make too many huge leaps. They make a few, but usually they take an idea, make it better, and polish it so that the everyman can use it. To nerds, it's not innovation. But to the general public, it is. When Apple introduced Siri to the world, I think we all could have said...that's been out forever. But to the general public, it was something exciting and new. So was FaceTime (even AT&T had video chat), iMessage, and so on... I've said it before and I'll say it again, as long as Apple continues to not focus on that "techie" stuff and just showing people what they can do with their technology, they will stay completely relevant. As long as the other guys are spouting off tech specs that your average joe doesn't understand, they will run the risk of not having an iconic phone that people will remember. Apple can only mess up by either having a BIG misstep or simply resting on a thought of "We're Apple, no one can beat us..." Microsoft fell under that and allowed Apple and Google to take their cool factor. RIM has done the same thing. As long as they understand they are only as good as their last product, Apple will be just fine. But fail to innovate (or create that illusion) and excite people...then you're going to end up being the next Gateway...

29. mikerouche

Posts: 14; Member since: Oct 18, 2011

google seems to be stepping their game up witht he nexus advertisements, didnt see any specs bragged about., they simply showed what the phone can do using real life situations acted out. and samsungs done pretty good with that also. thats one thing apple has always had . their marketing is how theyve become so succesful. i bet they could sell ceiling fans to people.

49. remixfa

Posts: 14605; Member since: Dec 19, 2008

jeff, that would be true if an iphone user and all their friends lived in a vacuum where people only had the iphone. then they wouldnt know what they were missing. As people around them get android phones or even WP7 and those phones do things the iphone cant, users will start to ask "why cant my phone do that?".. then they will start to look outside the walled garden. It happens quite a bit.. people looking for more. The iphone may be the "smart phone for non-smart phone people" but eventually like any gate way drug people start looking for more than what they are getting. iOS5 proves that point. If it wasnt true, apple wouldnt have administered android drop down notifications or voice commands. Why would they, unless people wanted those things from competitors?

35. Pdubb

Posts: 250; Member since: Aug 08, 2011

I think the real problem is the "techie" is becoming more and more the regular person. Information is everywhere and Apple no longer has the underdog role in its favor. They are the popular clique now and as the next subculture of tech comes up where will they turn is the true question. Apple grew because Microsoft was not cool anymore. (Remember the Dell guy?) It will be interesting to see what they can come out with to help in case the iPhone slows as the iPod has. A good time to be a "techie" I have used linux, windows and OSX and i like somethings about each. We will see how things work out!!!

20. Johnny_Mnemonic

Posts: 240; Member since: Oct 05, 2011

Gallito as I said before when jobs died he took the apple with him to the grave so I guess now you know the future of iPhone : (

21. ardent1

Posts: 2000; Member since: Apr 16, 2011

Steve Jobs left Apple with a 5-year pipeline of new ideas and products. Even the biographer of Steve Jobs didn't think it was appropriate to disclose Apple's future inventions. We know the next big thing for Apple is the TV since Jobs mentioned he finally figured out a solution.

23. Lucas777

Posts: 2137; Member since: Jan 06, 2011

he also said it was far from being ready… it might be their next project, but i dont see the tv as being something apple will rely on

4. tacohunter

Posts: 408; Member since: Nov 06, 2011

I just received an email. Yes phonearena changed it name to androidarena recently. So many people on PA are saying who believes analysts these days. It's just 2012 and the predictions are already there. I'm against most rumors, predictions, it has been mostly all not true.

8. JeffdaBeat unregistered

I'm sorry dude, but that's the nature of PhoneArena. It's been like that since I joined the site years ago. PhoneScoop is the place to be for official news.

9. tacohunter

Posts: 408; Member since: Nov 06, 2011

It was a joke, like the iPhonearena ones

13. protozeloz

Posts: 5396; Member since: Sep 16, 2010

I should have smelled it

12. protozeloz

Posts: 5396; Member since: Sep 16, 2010

Android will fail iPhone will fail we hear these rumors rather often like I said before when people talk about iPhone redesign we hear this and that. Just like playing the same loto number every day eventually those numbers will hit the jackpot but so far no lotto money. A broken watch could be right 2 times yet I think it won't be right. There are no sign of people mad at apple (aside from hatters). This is another rumor like I said s label saying its a rumor could save life's and tomorrow will be iphonearena but I guess is how things go

54. godsarmylds

Posts: 36; Member since: Mar 05, 2010

Sorry im a big android fan. But i respect the i phone. And i will agree with taco. All that sounds like is theory. When share info like this. I say make sure you let that be well know. Yea, i can see how that intel can make sense but i dont want phonearena to turn to just a bunch in theory articles.

5. bossmt_2

Posts: 459; Member since: Oct 13, 2009

iPad 3 and iPhone5 will make or break Apple's global stand. Remember not that long ago Blackberries were the top dog and not that long ago Palm was the top dog, and for a long time the RAZR was the best selling phone in the world. If you don't maintain innovation you grow stale. While Android devices offer a variety of pricing and size options and advanced technological features, iPhone is integrating Android features into their iPhone. Siri is a slightly improved Google Voice Search that you talk to and it talks back. It's not really ground breaking, it just shows how good apple is at advertising.

24. Lucas777

Posts: 2137; Member since: Jan 06, 2011

siri does a lot more than google voice does… u cant just tell google voice to remind u to walk the dog when u get home… or to wake u up in 50 minutes after u get home from work tomorrow…

27. Sackboy117

Posts: 178; Member since: Oct 17, 2011

Actually Google Voice is capable of setting reminders and alarms, but just not as complex as Siri, such as meetings and calendar events.

33. chadrick0814 unregistered

I set an alarm for that or put it on a calendar. Siri....ground breaking!!!!

36. bossmt_2

Posts: 459; Member since: Oct 13, 2009

Siri has location synchronization, that's the only difference. For years on Android you could say "text mom" and it would. The real important features of Siri are all on Google Voice.

6. cncrim

Posts: 1590; Member since: Aug 15, 2011

Well, the fruit had been bright and tasty last few years but fruit will rotten and fall until next time. However Robot will last little longer, open source is the key of that.

10. hobble

Posts: 130; Member since: Oct 11, 2011

Who can deny that the Apple iPhone is feeling stale? Everyone that visits this site apparantly.

11. Striker

Posts: 92; Member since: Nov 06, 2011

Yeah, right. And one mouse in jeans carries my nuts, hahaha! Wishful thinking, phonearena! Try again! :)

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