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Do you expect an industry status-quo change in 2014?

Posted: , by Chris P.

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Do you expect an industry status-quo change in 2014?
Volatile, fast-changing, and just unpredictable overall. Those adjectives fit well with the smartphone industry, and indeed any industry that is making headway towards "perfect" competition. Or well, that's at least one way to look at it. BlackBerry and Nokia, albeit the long face, would agree.

There's just no way of reliably forecasting in a consistent manner. Bets are made, of course, and most of those are a little more than just educated guesses, but the facts remain: although unlikely at this exact moment, there's no telling if Samsung and Apple won't follow into BlackBerry's and Nokia's footsteps of financial doom. And despite both having a pretty beneficial duopolistic type deal, competition is definitely mounting, and palpably. That's especially true in the East, for example, with Chinese and Indian smartphone vendors narrowing the know-how gap ever further. What's more, these are increasingly looking away from their otherwise massive home markets in hopes of attracting attention in the relatively wealthier West, which may or may not be looking for a change of pace. The rest of the mainstream brands, like LG, Sony, HTC, and so on, while not the most profitable, are nevertheless a constant threat as well.

Are you one of those people? And even if not, do you think that 2014 will mark some sort of major change of the current status-quo in the smartphone industry? With the whole world gunning for Apple's and Samsung's lion shares of the pie, it will be interesting to see if any one company manages to disrupt the incumbents position, and we'd like your input on just how likely you think that is. 

Phonearena polls
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Do you expect an industry status-quo change in 2014?
A major 'upset' is definitely in the making, y'all just wait and see! 20.02% (170 votes) (170 votes)
Not necessarily in 2014, but things are brewing 57.24% (486 votes) (486 votes)
Yeah, good luck with that! No reason to believe a change is on the way 22.73% (193 votes) (193 votes)

849 votes

  • Options

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 06:14 8

1. sgodsell (Posts: 4855; Member since: 16 Mar 2013)

Project Ara will change the world in a very profound manner.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 06:18 3

3. Commentator (Posts: 3722; Member since: 16 Aug 2011)

I liked this comment better when it was "shake the world." :(

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 06:52 1

7. SleepingOz (unregistered)

Yeah, Google is the one who's gonna change the face of technology!

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 07:22

12. superduper (Posts: 151; Member since: 20 Oct 2013)

Modular technology is a confusing and expensive alternative to all-in-one solutions. It will go the same way as Glass and the Galaxy Gear.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 07:27 1

13. AliNSiddiqui (Posts: 382; Member since: 19 Sep 2012)

It's supposed to be very cheap. My problem with Project Ara is that people like buying new stuff, with Project Ara, it will be limited to just the modules. The design of the exoskeleton will stay the same for quite some time.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 09:12

20. Synack (Posts: 682; Member since: 05 Jul 2011)

I would love for a change. But it's not coming. Manufacturers keep shelling out minor device refreshes and we keep handing them more and more money. They're comfortable and happy.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 06:15 4

2. AliNSiddiqui (Posts: 382; Member since: 19 Sep 2012)

I think this year marks the first year of Samsung and Apple's downfall. Sony, HTC, LG, and Motorola are finally stepping up their game and Samsung was caught with their pants down this time. Samsung will still break records this year most likely, but people will start to realize that the competition is doing better.

As for Apple, Windows Phone will take Apple out, little by little, although I am sure that the WP8.1 update will definitely increase the growth. Heck, in some places in Europe, WP already has a greater market share. WP's focus on low-end will also definitely help in places like India and other developing countries.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 06:41 4

6. sgodsell (Posts: 4855; Member since: 16 Mar 2013)

Even though WP did well with the likes of the lumia 520 in India. Now that the 525 has been released their, sales of WP has declined in India recently. Even globally last quarter WP declined to 8.8 million devices. That's down from the previous quarter of 9.5 million devices. Even Nokia realized that both India and China are going to see the biggest growth in 2014. Both countries have a number of Android Only OEMs, and both sit at roughly 90% Android market share. Nokia recently released not 1 but 3 forked Android phones with a UI like WP. WP has not been generating the needed sales or revenue, that's why Nokia came out with Android phones that only have Microsoft's apps and services without any of Googles apps and services. The European countries that WP has surpassed Apple is because they have no subsidies for the hardware. So yes a a cheap WP at 100 euro will sell more then a 600-800 euro apple iPhone.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 07:09

11. AliNSiddiqui (Posts: 382; Member since: 19 Sep 2012)

I think that the reduced sales this past quarter is a result of lack of devices and updates.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 06:57 5

9. SleepingOz (unregistered)

I'm no apple fan but WP isn't taking iOS anytime soon.
The all new, not a refreshed version, iP6 is coming, iOS will regain its lost marketshare quite rapidly after.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 07:28

14. AliNSiddiqui (Posts: 382; Member since: 19 Sep 2012)

WP growing past iOS in some parts of Europe is not news, if iPhone 5 couldn't do anything about it then what's so special about iPhone 6?

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 07:41 4

15. ihavenoname (Posts: 1693; Member since: 18 Aug 2013)

Windows Phone is no threat to iOS. Most of iPhones sold are high-end and most of WPs are low-end. People who buy 520s probably don't want to spend over $500 to smartphone and people who buy iPhones could not care less about low-end Lumia.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 07:59

17. grahaman27 (Posts: 361; Member since: 05 Apr 2013)

Just give up on your WP dream, I mean... After all, Microsoft did :))

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 08:16

18. AliNSiddiqui (Posts: 382; Member since: 19 Sep 2012)

Lol that's true, it like a side project to them..

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 06:20 1

4. apple4never (Posts: 1064; Member since: 08 May 2013)

this year will see the uprising of sony, htc, LG and some others as well as the downfall of sammy (not that i want that) and apple (i want that)

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 06:54 3

8. sgodsell (Posts: 4855; Member since: 16 Mar 2013)

Samsung puts out the most smart phones with the most features and options. Still no OEM has challenged them in that area. Not to mention that almost every OEM needs them for some parts. Samsung makes CPUs, memory, displays, radios, storage, or basically everything for their phones. Not to mention components for Apple Nokia, Sony, LG, Motorola, lenovo, htc, huawei, ....
I don't think Samsung is going to see a downfall like you put it.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 07:52

16. ihavenoname (Posts: 1693; Member since: 18 Aug 2013)

Same with Apple. Even if their iPhone line up would fail (very unlikely though, they are selling well, have insanely good customer sat. ratings and loyalty, new bigger screen iP6 coming etc.) they still have highly successful iPad and Mac line-up. And Apple haters have said that Apple will fall next year since 1977...

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 09:53

21. InspectorGadget80 (unregistered)

SONY won't market their selves here in THE U.S. which have the largest carrier but sad too see them only put their device exclusively ONLY for T-MOBILE which kinda sucksa. and I dont think LG won't put DENT in sales against SAMSUNG here in the U.S.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 06:32

5. rawbow (Posts: 428; Member since: 30 Mar 2012)

They need another niche product or a big skip in existing tech

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 06:57

10. antonioli (Posts: 200; Member since: 08 Sep 2013)

When they sense it they will coming with wearable stuffs and other things.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 08:50

19. Slammer (Posts: 1515; Member since: 03 Jun 2010)

The changes I'd like to see are not going to happen this year. However, I am lobbying to see some changes within the next three years. Current trends are giving way to misaligned thought patterns. It is my hope that what I perceive as detrimental practices now happening in the industry, will eventually be equally viewed as stagnating advancements and lack of consumer control.

I hope that the petitions in the works from individuals as myself, will be taken seriously through our local, state and national government to end the charades of manufacturers and carriers that are misguiding the consumers.

I also hope that edititors and reporters of sites like Phonearena start to imagine a more diversecourse in retaining quality build AND consumer accessibility; not being one sided that quality build is an excuse to eliminate key features and functions. I would like these people(that claim to love the industry and feel they know everything) to put the money where their mouths are and rally for more balance instead of trying to push a short changed approach in pushing unbaked trends. Think with your heads and use common sense. Not salivate and lust over marketing tactics. The editors and reporters should promote more of a knowledgeble authoritative position of knowing what is hype vs true advancements.

John B.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 10:00

22. Xenaz (Posts: 144; Member since: 28 Apr 2013)

I really hope it does this year but it won't gonna happen this year, not anytime soon. But the dominance by Samsung and Apple is going weaker and weaker, especially Apple, as more and more people start realize that they actually have many other options on the market other than Samsung and Apple. This is a good sign for consumers, we need no dominance but more competition, so we could have more options and better offers from OEMs. Looking forward to Project Ara as well.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 12:28

23. AppleHateBoy (unregistered)

It's getting more and more difficult to produce phones that offer real improvements. This will ultimately push prices down and reduce profits. Also Samsung and Apple are essentially ruling the market. Being big players they don't want to innovate quickly but still want profits. It will be interesting to see how quickly the smartphone commoditized.

posted on 31 Mar 2014, 19:24

24. roscuthiii (Posts: 2241; Member since: 18 Jul 2010)

I would love if there was a major change... however, I don't see anything other than incremental changes until a completely new type of technology emerges.
Not a new product category mind you. New technology. Unless of course that new product category is made possible by that new technology.

*fingers crossed*

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