By December, there will be 800 million Android phones active vs. 300 million Apple iPhones

By December, there will be 800 million Android phones active vs. 300 million Apple iPhones
Now that we have a new entry, or shall we say a resurgent entry in the smartphone market in BlackBerry, what will the global market look like by the end of the year? This is the question that ABI Research answered with its latest forecast. The researcher expects to see 1.4 billion smartphones in use by the end of the year, a 44% annual growth rate. That will be down slightly from the 45% seen in 2012, but still a fantastic rate of growth considering that the world economy is not exactly booming.

Android flavored models will account for 798 million, or 57% of the smartphones that are active. While it is a majority, that figure is down from the 70% of the global smartphone market that Android owned in the third quarter of 2012. With 21% of the global smartphone market, iOS will be on 294 million active smartphones by the end of the year.

The real excitement is for third place, a battle expected to be fought between BlackBerry 10 and Windows Phone. Windows Phone is expected to have 3% of the global market by the end of December,which works out to 45 million units. ABI sees 20 million BlackBerry 10 units in users' hands by the end of the year. A little better performance from BlackBerry, or a little worse from Windows Phone and we could see a surprise in this battle by year end.

ABI Research is still seeing rapid growth in the tablet market, which is still in its infancy. A 125% growth in the global tablet market would result in 268 million slates available by the end of the year. 62% will run iOS and 28% will be Android flavored.

source: VentureBeat

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26 Comments

1. pokharkarsaga

Posts: 547; Member since: Feb 23, 2012

Soon android will overstep windows.

16. lucasho2312

Posts: 32; Member since: Feb 10, 2013

u mean windows phone

22. hepresearch unregistered

Windows Phone has hardly arrived in comparison to Android... They must mean Windows, as in the PC version.

25. lucasho2312

Posts: 32; Member since: Feb 10, 2013

I'm tired of these people from future. As far as I know, there is no android version for pc or do you guys really think that blue stack is that powerful. You guys really need to talk facts and stop saying meaningless things.

26. hepresearch unregistered

Not talking about equivalency of the products... only ubiquity. Windows PC's have been the ubiquitous PC of the last two-and-a-half decades, and now Android is on the verge of becoming the new ubiquitous personal processing product of this next decade. More people across the world now have mobile phones than PC's, and since 70% of all smartphones (worldwide, not just the US) are Android - well, that makes Android ready to take over soon. Yeah, Android is not what I would consider a PC replacement, but the economic 'votes' of the people HAVE spoken. Welcome to the dawn of the post-PC era...

2. darac

Posts: 2156; Member since: Oct 17, 2011

Wait.. Android 57% ,iOS 21%, WP 3 %, BB 1.5-2%.. that's about 83 percent total! What am I missing here?? Wil Symbian grow and take over the rest? Lol And how can Android lose market share if it rakes over 150 million units per quarter, more than 3 times what Apple does ??

5. TylerGrunter

Posts: 1544; Member since: Feb 16, 2012

Android is not losing market, that's just Alan's interpretation... Android gets between 65% and 70% of the market share every quarter (last year at least) but that does not mean it has (yet) 70% of the total installations. That part is still growing as Symbian devices are going down. In other words, he is mixing quarterly market share figures with total installed devices figures... Not precisely a very clear to put things.

8. darac

Posts: 2156; Member since: Oct 17, 2011

Well then the article is clearly wrong. It states Android had 70 % of installed base in December 2012, and that this will go down by next December. Very poor interpretation. The reality is that it had 70 % of market share DURING last December (new activations), and that it should have 57% of overall installed base by next December. There will still be a huge number of old Symbian devices in use by then, and that's where the confusion is coming from.

23. hepresearch unregistered

No surprise. Symbian was a 2+ billion unit lifetime juggernaut. I still have a couple of them myself. For being a dead OS, Symbian devices seem to have a LONG half-life outside of the US. It will take another year at full performance for Android to finally surpass Symbian for the total all-time units-sold record.

3. imsickwithsmartphone

Posts: 153; Member since: Jan 28, 2013

Go GREEN ROBOT!! let's conquer the world!!!

4. UrbanPhantom

Posts: 949; Member since: Oct 30, 2012

Android's huge popularlity is remarkable, but too bad it also has the biggest problem with smartphone malware and data theft ;o)

6. Luuthian

Posts: 332; Member since: Sep 09, 2011

Not really... Depends how you're using your phone. These are issues known to be well overblown.

7. dsDoan

Posts: 235; Member since: Dec 28, 2011

Do you have experience with this, or are you repeating things you've read on the internet?

9. rusticguy

Posts: 2828; Member since: Aug 11, 2012

He is following M$ campaigns too honestly :)

15. jroc74

Posts: 6023; Member since: Dec 30, 2010

I have banking apps, I used to have eTrade, I login to hotmail and GMail and other things from my phone. My credit card is linked to the Play Store. And Amazon apps. My data is intact, and I block more malware on my PC than I got hit with on my phone. In fact....I actually had data stolen .....from my PC. Never on my phone, not yet anyway. I think Android, and Google's biggest problem is FUD, BS spread by others.

18. jroc74

Posts: 6023; Member since: Dec 30, 2010

Then again.....anything with a huge marketshare has a chance to be a bigger target. I also dont have any security onmy phones...I have 5 on my PC.

19. gmracer1

Posts: 646; Member since: Dec 28, 2012

I've been using Android for over a year and a half, now. I've never had any malware issues--nor data theft. I don't even use an antivirus. My phone has (supposedly) a 256-bit Government grade encryption for outgoing data transmission. Microsoft will always use malware scare tactics against Androids to try and sway customers. Trust the Android community...not the posers.

10. jameshoe unregistered

But 200 million of Android smartphone users hope they could use apple iphone

13. PapaSmurf

Posts: 10457; Member since: May 14, 2012

Correction: 200 million Android users are GLAD they aren't using an app drawer phone with a hefty price tag.

20. gmracer1

Posts: 646; Member since: Dec 28, 2012

LOL what app drawer?! xD Btw Papa, love the avatar!!!

11. wando77

Posts: 1168; Member since: Aug 23, 2012

My friend and his son are both selling there iPhone 4s to get a galaxy s3 and the son is selling his iPad to get a note 10.1. After playing around with my phone and tablet they think they are better than the apple products. Things like split screen multitasking blew them away as they had previously been brain washed into thinking android phones/tablets were naff.

12. speckledapple

Posts: 902; Member since: Sep 29, 2011

I am happy to have contributed to the total for the Note 2 on the year.

14. XperiaFanZone

Posts: 2277; Member since: Sep 21, 2012

WP 8 to be in the top two with Android!

17. lucasho2312

Posts: 32; Member since: Feb 10, 2013

really wanna see what BB can do. Just a question, can BB run Android apps as the rumors said ?

21. TheMan

Posts: 494; Member since: Sep 21, 2012

These numbers don't mean much without comparing what the installed base is as of the end 2012. Anyone have these figures?

24. BadAssAbe

Posts: 507; Member since: Apr 22, 2011

windows will beat blackberry for a few reasons like having Samsung, HTC and Nokia WPs Also its just to big to fail before Blackberry because of Windows 8

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