IDC predicts Android market growth to end, and Windows Phone to beat out iOS

It looks as though Android's meteoric rise in the smartphone market may be coming to an end, at least according to a new report by IDC. The report says that Android's growth could end this year, and by 2016, Windows Phone may pull ahead of iOS...
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41 Comments

23. remixfa

Posts: 14605; Member since: Dec 19, 2008

pretty much mirrors what I've been saying for a while.

25. good2great

Posts: 1042; Member since: Feb 22, 2012

i would like to see WP at the top with apple on its heels while android continues to out do technology. (android would be in 3rd but their phones will be bad a$$ tho)

33. remixfa

Posts: 14605; Member since: Dec 19, 2008

It would take a miracle for android to be in 3rd. The open source of the OS makes it too pliable to become "boring" or "stale" like iOS or even WP might become, the fact that you can slap it on anything will keep options wide open, and yes the hardware race will keep chip nerds like myself enthused. And if you keep us enthused, we tell all of our buddies about it and convince them to buy our phones with its cool features, and the word of mouth spreads around. Unless a major unseen shift happens, I dont think you will see android under 40-50% market share any time soon. iOS will probably sit at like 15-20% and the rest will be WP and "other". RIM could still make a comeback, no matter how unlikely, and there is also Tinzen out there soon to make a dent.

29. lzsbleach

Posts: 155; Member since: May 20, 2012

People dont see that Android keeps getting better every year. Some people just dont get it, they keep it fresh while improving. Android for phones might just be what windows is to PC's. If that happens everyone will jump on Android and thats why ios is so scared of them.

30. InspectorGadget80 unregistered

ANALYST ARE BUNCH OF TURDS. Can't predict ANYTHING RIGHT

32. rudlie

Posts: 205; Member since: Mar 13, 2012

What?? Blackberry OS just reduce 0.1%? It will can not be. I'm user of blackberry but very doubt blackberry os just slide like this. WP not proven yet in current markets, I also doubt the growth can be that spectaculer. But I'm agree with IDC, because android market now has meet the anti klimaks. I believe WP will get some android markets but WP still can not compete ios and android in smartphone because the device still has high production cost and sales price. Don't forget, new OS' will come at the next few years, the analyst should count them too

34. isprobi

Posts: 797; Member since: May 30, 2011

Having tried Windows Phone I can see it catching iOS. Both of them cater to the unsophisticated phone user for the most part. And Apple limits the hardware sooooo much but WP gives some options. Android will eventually reach a limit but by covering all the price points and giving power users something to play with it will continue to sell well.

35. Suts_97

Posts: 128; Member since: May 05, 2012

Windows Phone can beat iOS but not Android, never!

37. satydesh

Posts: 71; Member since: Nov 22, 2011

android gained market share by consuming shares of symbian,bb and Win mob.It is clear that symbian,win mob and webOS has been abandoned It is clear now android has to loose share to the windows phone or IOS!!!

38. ananya22

Posts: 93; Member since: Apr 23, 2012

Absolutely wrong. None of this is gonna happen. Android would grow upto 70% and ios would take up 25-29% WP WOULD BE 0.5%

39. downphoenix

Posts: 3165; Member since: Jun 19, 2010

I want to know what sales figures and data the IDC came up to this conclusion. Windows has went down, not up, in marketshare from when Windows 7 came out to now, if you factor in Windows Mobile as well. Which, is only fair, when you consider that iOS and Android and Blackberry figures also factor in older OSs, so we have to be fair and consider Windows Mobile and WP7 together. Some WM people have not been migrating to WP7, but to other platforms. Now to be fair, the share of the smartphone market has increased when you factor in the increase in number of smartphone owners, but Microsoft's percentage of the total market has decreased, and still to this day they are lower than Blackberry and Symbian, platforms that are often cited as dead and/or outdated. And with the general consensus of PC users towards Windows 8 (i.e. they are hating it) and the fact that Microsoft has no tablet marketshare at all, there is absolutely nothing concrete to suggest that Microsoft will make any big growth in the market. Unless Microsoft unveils some must have feeature that can garner the fervor that people had for phones like the Iphone, Droid, HTC Evo, and similar phones that were able to make big gains in the marketshare for their platforms, I just don't see it happening.
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